Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

PHI vs TB Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

We are going to ride the hot-hitting Phillies here as they look for back-to-back wins vs. the Rays. They will send Cristopher Sanchez to the bump, and he's been solid, giving up two or fewer runs in four straight starts. The Phils' bats should do enough to get Sanchez the run support needed to pick up the win. 

Game Prop
Philadelphia Phillies logo Tampa Bay Rays logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (No: -130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

This game will be a pitcher's duel between Philadelphia southpaw Zack Wheeler and Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen. Wheeler was the NL Cy Young runner up last year and he's in the top 10th percentile in xERA (2.48) and xBA (.199) this season. Rasmussen has pitched to a 2.79 ERA across 326 innings since the start of the 2021 season and has a 2.64 ERA in six starts this year. The Phillies are 11th in the majors in OPS (.735) but that number plummets to .650 on the road. Meanwhile, the Rays have an OPS of just .551 against southpaws — the second-worst number in the majors. They also rank 28th in Run First Inning rate (20.6%).

Strikeouts Thrown
Zack Wheeler logo
Zack Wheeler u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-150)
Projection 6.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) calling pitches in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Zack Wheeler will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.. Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Zack Wheeler and his 35.5% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in this outing facing 4 opposing GB bats.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 16th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ben Rortvedt logo
Ben Rortvedt o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.
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PHI vs TB Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Philadelphia

70%
30%

Total PicksPHI 590, TB 251

Moneyline
PHI
TB

PHI vs TB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's game.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's game.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's game.

Jonathan Aranda logo

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's game.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest CF fences in the league. Drew Rasmussen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest CF fences in the league. Drew Rasmussen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 16th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 16th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.4-mph.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.4-mph.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Ben Rortvedt
B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt logo

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.9% seasonal rate to 38.5% in the last 7 days.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.9% seasonal rate to 38.5% in the last 7 days.

Travis Jankowski Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Travis Jankowski
T. Jankowski
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Travis Jankowski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Travis Jankowski logo

Travis Jankowski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Travis Jankowski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Posting a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Posting a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Taylor Walls's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Taylor Walls logo

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Taylor Walls's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Kameron Misner
K. Misner
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Kameron Misner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Kameron Misner logo

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kameron Misner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen today. Since the start of last season, Brandon Marsh has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which is among the best in the game at the 89th percentile.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen today. Since the start of last season, Brandon Marsh has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which is among the best in the game at the 89th percentile.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams on the slate). Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Danny Jansen logo

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams on the slate). Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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