Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has been very fortunate given the .056 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 23.1% on the season to 17.9% over the last 14 days.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 90-mph in the last two weeks.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game. The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (5.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 10° figure last season.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78-mph over the past week. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (4.6°) is significantly worse than his 9.7° mark last year.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's game. This season, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 12.4% last year to just 3.8% this year. Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .390 mark is quite a bit higher than his .363 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Alek Thomas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alek Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Tim Tawa will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. Tim Tawa pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 86%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Weston Wilson will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Weston Wilson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.