Houston @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
HOU vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Game Prop
Pick made: 2 months ago

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
The White Sox score a run in the first inning 43.8% of the time — the second-highest number in the majors. However, they are 24th in runs per game (3.63) and are second-last in OPS (.627) so expect major regression. Meanwhile, the Astros are 23rd in OPS (.667) and plate a run in the first inning at the lowest rate in the majors (16.1%). Houston will have ace Hunter Brown on the hill. Brown has a 1.22 ERA with an MLB-best 1.82 FIP through six starts. The White Sox respond with Davis Martin who has a 3.24 ERA through 33 1/3 innings.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 field in the league for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Total RBIs

Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 field in the league for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Isaac Paredes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Davis Martin.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Total RBIs

Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-190)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 field in the league for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Thaiss o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Matt Thaiss will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage today.. Matt Thaiss's launch angle lately (22.5° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19.5° seasonal angle.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brooks Baldwin o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brooks Baldwin will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brooks Baldwin has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph average.. Brooks Baldwin's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 48% on the season to 58.3% over the last 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lenyn Sosa o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 field in the league for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Lenyn Sosa has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 54.5% on the season to 65.3% in the last two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Edgar Quero o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Edgar Quero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Edgar Quero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Edgar Quero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.