St. Louis @ Cincinnati picks

I'm at the point where no bet against Miles Mikolas is a bad bet. The right-hander is 0-2 on the season with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He's not striking out very many batters as he's got just three K's over his last 10.2 innings to go along with four free passes. The Reds are a team trending in the right direction and have plated 3, 8, 6, 8, and 5 runs across their last five games, all wins. They should do enough offensively to help Brady Singer improve to 5-0 on the season. 

I'm at the point where no bet against Miles Mikolas is a bad bet. The right-hander is 0-2 on the season with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He's not striking out very many batters as he's got just three K's over his last 10.2 innings to go along with four free passes. The Reds are a team trending in the right direction and have plated 3, 8, 6, 8, and 5 runs across their last five games, all wins. They should do enough offensively to help Brady Singer improve to 5-0 on the season. 

Matt McLain's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Matt McLain has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as baseball's 17th-best home run batter.. The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Nolan Gorman has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as baseball's 17th-best home run batter.. The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Nolan Gorman has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Matt McLain's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Matt McLain has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.. Alec Burleson has struggled with his Barrel%; his 6.6% rate last season has fallen to 0% this year.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 4.7%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. In MLB, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Willson Contreras has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 108.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 96.8-mph.