Texas @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 21.1% to 16.6%. Marcus Semien has posted a .254 BABIP this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Logan O'Hoppe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Logan O'Hoppe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 25%. Logan O'Hoppe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph recently. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 72.4% in the past two weeks. Nathaniel Lowe has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Matt Thaiss is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Thaiss can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sporting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has shown strong plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive skill to be a .304, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .279 wOBA.

Justin Foscue will have the handedness advantage over Reid Detmers in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days. Wyatt Langford has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.

Josh H. Smith is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Josh H. Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV. Josh H. Smith's launch angle recently (23.6° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 15.3° seasonal angle. Josh H. Smith has compiled a .318 BABIP this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Niko Kavadas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Niko Kavadas is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Niko Kavadas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 27.6°, Niko Kavadas has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.1° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games. Niko Kavadas has been unlucky this year, compiling a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .037 deviation.

Gustavo Campero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Michael Stefanic will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. With a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Michael Stefanic has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today. Putting up a 93.2-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days, Eric Wagaman has been in great form of late. Eric Wagaman has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 22% of the time over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Taylor Ward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.8% to 22.5%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Ward has suffered from bad luck this year. His .329 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

Kevin Pillar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kevin Pillar will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 40.8% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an edge today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.5° angle in the past week. Despite posting a .292 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has suffered from bad luck given the .028 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Reid Detmers in today's matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .220 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Drury has suffered from bad luck given the .078 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Reid Detmers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonah Heim's true offensive talent to be a .289, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .026 deviation between that mark and his actual .263 wOBA.

Jonathan Ornelas will have the handedness advantage over Reid Detmers in today's matchup.

Jack Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jack Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Jack Lopez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 10% in the last 7 days.

Nolan Schanuel has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Leody Taveras has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ezequiel Duran has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.