Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 97.8-mph over the last week.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game. 10% of the time that Otto Lopez has started against a southpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Otto Lopez's 4.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 2nd percentile.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Luis Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia's true offensive ability to be a .317, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .017 disparity between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo in today's game. James Wood has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andres Chaparro hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Andres Chaparro has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 92.8-mph in the past 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Andres Chaparro has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29° figure over the last week.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Griffin Conine hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Griffin Conine has displayed impressive power, recording a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power). Griffin Conine has exhibited some good exit velocity statistics recently, averaging 103.9-mph on his flyballs in the last week.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dylan Crews's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.8% up to 15.8%. Dylan Crews has shown some good exit velocity indicators in recent games, averaging 101.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball hitters like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance this year with his .258 actual batting average. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Jacob Young finds himself in the 84th percentile.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .380 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xavier Edwards has experienced some positive variance given the .077 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303. This year, Xavier Edwards's 2.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage in today's game.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo today. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. The standard deviation of CJ Abrams's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (34.1° in the last 7 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cristian Pache will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Cristian Pache will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cristian Pache's speed has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.44 ft/sec now. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Cristian Pache has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (90.7-mph).

Jose Tena's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jake Burger will have an edge in today's game. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage over Valente Bellozo in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Over the last two weeks, Joey Gallo's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.8%.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jonah Bride will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Bride has recorded a .322 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Valente Bellozo in this game. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (19.9°) is significantly better than his 15.1° angle last season. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .028 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .268.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.