Minnesota @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Jose Siri has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.7% to 25%. Jose Siri has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Matt Wallner has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 18.8% rate last season to 24.7% this year. Matt Wallner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.5-mph average to last season's 97.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Junior Caminero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games.

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dylan Carlson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.3-mph EV.

Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage today. Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 12.3% to 21.4%.

Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana's launch angle this season (15.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° angle last year. Over the last week, Carlos Santana's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Christopher Morel has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Willi Castro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (21.8° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 13° seasonal angle. Compared to last season, Willi Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.9% to 47.4% this season.

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs today. Ryan Jeffers pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Ryan Jeffers's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.1%. Placing in the 80th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has put up a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Austin Martin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Martin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Austin Martin has been unlucky this year. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284. Posting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's game. Jonathan Aranda is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against David Festa in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Michael Helman will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.

Jose Miranda's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Miranda is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Jose Miranda will have an edge in today's game. Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Miranda's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 8.5% to 12.7%.

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand today. Kyle Farmer's launch angle this season (17.1°) is considerably better than his 13° figure last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) may lead us to conclude that Kyle Farmer has been unlucky this year with his .189 actual batting average.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.7° angle over the last week.

Alex Jackson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.