Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props
CIN vs PIT Picks
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CIN vs PIT Props
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Michael A. Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.
Ji-Hwan Bae Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Luis Ortiz) today.
Billy McKinney Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°. Billy McKinney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage in today's game.
Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Oneil Cruz's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
HRs are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.8-mph average last season has dropped off to 85.5-mph. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .314 figure is quite a bit higher than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 22nd percentile.
Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Over the past week, Noelvi Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 22.2%. In the past week's worth of games, Noelvi Marte's 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Considering Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, T.J. Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Because of Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, Will Benson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Last year, Will Benson had an average launch angle of 14.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.7°. This year, Will Benson's 11.9% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Nick Martinez.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.
Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Alika Williams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Alika Williams has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .202 actual batting average.
Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz today... and the cherry on top, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Dominic Smith has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph EV.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Joey Bart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.
Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. In the last two weeks, Santiago Espinal's 68% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.7%.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When estimating his BABIP ability, Amed Rosario is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Amed Rosario has put up a .373 BABIP this year, placing in the 100th percentile.
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Yasmani Grandal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph average.
CIN vs PIT Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 114 games (-23.45 Units / -18% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 123 games (-14.35 Units / -11% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 117 games (-14.30 Units / -11% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 48 games at home (-13.15 Units / -22% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 110 games (-10.55 Units / -8% ROI)
CIN vs PIT Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||