Detroit @ Chicago Picks & Props

Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Matt Vierling meets a tough challenge in today's game. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Matt Vierling has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Matt Vierling's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the last week, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

Keider Montero will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn today. Andrew Vaughn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas's launch angle this year (21.6°) is significantly better than his 16.6° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game. Riley Greene has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today. Andrew Benintendi has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jake Rogers pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Rogers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure. Jake Rogers has been unlucky this year, notching a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .039 gap.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game. Korey Lee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.239) may lead us to conclude that Korey Lee has been unlucky this year with his .216 actual batting average.

Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Parker Meadows pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jace Jung will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jace Jung's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 77.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Riley Baldwin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Baldwin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Riley Baldwin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.8-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal mark of 21.1°, Riley Baldwin's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly recently (18° in the past 14 days).

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage today. Dominic Fletcher has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dominic Fletcher will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .247 figure is quite a bit lower than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Keider Montero today. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Flexen today. Colt Keith has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 46.3% to 51.9%. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 51.9% on the season to 59.3% over the last two weeks.

Dillon Dingler has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Trey Sweeney has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.