Chicago @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Spencer Steer will have a disadvantage today. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Spencer Steer sits with a .269 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Tyler Stephenson faces a tough challenge today. Tyler Stephenson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 48.3% to 40.1%. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 40.1% on the season to 31.6% over the last 14 days. With a .260 BABIP this year, Tyler Stephenson is ranked in the 17th percentile.

Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today's game. Jonathan India's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.6-mph over the past 14 days. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.4-mph figure last year has dropped to 88.3-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%.

Patrick Wisdom is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have an edge today. Patrick Wisdom pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today's game. T.J. Friedl may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kyle Hendricks today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an edge today. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Isaac Paredes will have the upper hand today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (45.4% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today. Will Benson has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Seiya Suzuki will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Christian Bethancourt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.2% to 21.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today. Jeimer Candelario has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for lefty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Fraley will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the most humidity on the schedule today at 83%. Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.