New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Will Warren throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.6°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.6°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The #7 park in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Juan Soto's true offensive talent to be a .407, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .029 difference between that figure and his actual .436 wOBA.

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 85.8-mph over the past 14 days. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 99.9-mph.

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today. Bryson Stott will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. In the last 7 days, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Benjamin Rice will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 18.2%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nick Castellanos has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game. Austin Wells has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. With a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Anthony Volpe is ranked in the 77th percentile.

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Austin Hays will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Austin Hays has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.5° mark over the past two weeks.

Oswaldo Cabrera has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.