MASN, MLBN, NESN

Baltimore @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. In the last two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -6° angle.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. In the last two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -6° angle.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Batting from the same side that Cole Irvin throws from, Rafael Devers will have a tough challenge in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Batting from the same side that Cole Irvin throws from, Rafael Devers will have a tough challenge in today's game.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Kutter Crawford Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Kutter Crawford Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Cole Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran today. In the past two weeks, Jarren Duran has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. Cole Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran today. In the past two weeks, Jarren Duran has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand today. Ryan O'Hearn has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand today. Ryan O'Hearn has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Over the past two weeks, Cedric Mullins II's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Over the past two weeks, Cedric Mullins II's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. In the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 38° angle.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. In the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 38° angle.

Pablo Reyes Total Hits Props • Boston

P. Reyes
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Pablo Reyes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Pablo Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Pablo Reyes will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Pablo Reyes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Pablo Reyes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Pablo Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Pablo Reyes will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Anthony Santander has been hot recently, notching a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past 14 days. Anthony Santander has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, compiling a 24° angle on such balls over the last 14 days.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Anthony Santander has been hot recently, notching a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past 14 days. Anthony Santander has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, compiling a 24° angle on such balls over the last 14 days.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast