Washington @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 39.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Jake Alu has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 1.9% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Jake Alu's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. a 1.53 K/BB rate this year, Aaron Hicks has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 87.9-mph.

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Ramon Urias today. Ramon Urias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Ramon Urias's launch angle of late (32° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 7.6° seasonal mark.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.9° angle in the past two weeks. With a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .248 actual batting average. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 1.09 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Dominic Smith has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately. In the past 14 days, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB BABIP. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably better than his 17.3° figure last year. Cedric Mullins II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 37.9% on the season to 51.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Trevor Williams Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Anthony Santander's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

Heston Kjerstad has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.