Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league.

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justin Turner has recorded a mere a 3.2% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Over the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 18th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 50% on the season to 70% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. Over the last 14 days, Wilyer Abreu's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 64.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Connor Wong has been hot of late, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.