Philadelphia @ San Diego Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .332 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Manny Machado has experienced some negative variance given the .038 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .370.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matthew Batten will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Last season, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 19.9°. Trent Grisham has been unlucky this year, compiling a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .036 discrepancy.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Kyle Schwarber has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.9% seasonal rate to 31% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Kyle Schwarber has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.2-mph mark. Over the last two weeks, Kyle Schwarber's 31% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Bryson Stott has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week. In the last 14 days, Bryson Stott's 54.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%. Sporting a .301 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott finds himself in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today. Nick Castellanos's launch angle lately (31.8° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 13° seasonal angle. Posting a .347 BABIP this year, Nick Castellanos finds himself in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Petco Park profiles as the #26 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Bryce Harper has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.3% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's game. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle this season (14.4°) is significantly better than his 11° angle last season. This year, the hardest ball Edmundo Sosa has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.8 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), grading out in the 78th percentile.

Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill in today's matchup. Cristian Pache has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.6% rate last year to 11.4% this year. Cristian Pache's launch angle this season (13.3°) is significantly higher than his 3.4° angle last year. As it relates to his batting average, Cristian Pache since the start of last season. His .192 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Johan Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.