Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field projects as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage against Corey Seager today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Danny Mendick will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Mendick grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season).

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Jonathan Arauz pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Arauz will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonathan Arauz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .189 mark is considerably lower than his .238 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Robbie Grossman pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Robbie Grossman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 40.5% on the season to 75% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.8% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Marcus Semien will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Mitch Garver will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Ezequiel Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ezequiel Duran has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Tim Locastro will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most humidity of the day at 88%. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of the day at 81%. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hedges has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last season's 84.2-mph figure. Austin Hedges's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 45.4%.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.