Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 park in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Sporting a 3.56 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Austin Hays's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Over the past week, Austin Hays's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 20%. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Austin Hays has notched a .347 BABIP this year.

Adam Frazier's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller today. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.4% to 18.8%. When it comes to his batting average, Adam Frazier has suffered from bad luck this year. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Adley Rutschman has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 19%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.1-mph figure.

James McCann has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.3%. Placing in the 78th percentile, the hardest ball James McCann has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability. The standard deviation of James McCann's launch angle this year (26°) is in the 77th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today. Dylan Moore has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.1% rate last year to 35.3% this year. Dylan Moore has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 100.5-mph average to last year's 92.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past 14 days, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 91.8-mph of late. Jordan Westburg is very athletic, checking in at the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec this year.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst on the slate today). Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 17.1% on the season to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games. Anthony Santander's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Cade Marlowe will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game. Cade Marlowe pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Cade Marlowe will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cade Marlowe's launch angle recently (35.5° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 17.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.