San Diego @ Arizona Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 31%. Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Blake Snell.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. The Barrel% of Trent Grisham has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.7% last year to 13.7% this year.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. When it comes to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's talent is quite good, posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake McCarthy has experienced some negative variance this year. His .302 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Jake Cronenworth this year with his .227 actual batting average.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Ahmed this year. His .263 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carson Kelly's true offensive ability to be a .290, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gary Sanchez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.3-mph over the last 14 days. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 37.5% over the past 14 days.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.