Colorado @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game. Nolan Jones has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.2% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games. Nolan Jones has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 96.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Amed Rosario has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 78.2-mph in the past week. Over the last 7 days, Amed Rosario's 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46%. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Amed Rosario sits with a .297 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. With a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, Amed Rosario has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Elehuris Montero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, putting up a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .382 — a .025 difference.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Lance Lynn in today's game. Ryan McMahon has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph. Ryan McMahon's launch angle in recent games (25.5° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 8.5° seasonal figure.

Austin Gomber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman today. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Freddie Freeman has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .432 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .395.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Castro in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Harold Castro will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's game. Harold Castro hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has experienced some negative variance given the .060 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 11.8% to 15.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Max Muncy has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Ezequiel Tovar has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 7 days. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 50% on the season to 63.2% over the last 7 days.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. In the past two weeks, Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.5-mph over the course of the season to 88.8-mph of late. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.4% to 16.5%.

Brendan Rodgers's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In the past week's worth of games, Brendan Rodgers's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 70% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. When it comes to his batting average, Brendan Rodgers has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .263 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Chris Taylor will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Chris Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 43.3° mark over the past 7 days.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. James Outman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the last week, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 23.1%. Over the last 7 days, James Outman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph recently. Placing in the 95th percentile, James Outman sports a .360 BABIP this year.

David Peralta's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, David Peralta's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

Kike Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Kike Hernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Miguel Rojas's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) implies that Miguel Rojas has experienced some negative variance this year with his .241 actual wOBA.