Senegal vs Morocco Predictions, Picks & Odds — AFCON Final

Vasile's prediction: The Lions of Teranga roar loudest.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Jan 17, 2026 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Sadio Mane of Senegal looks on during a 2025 AFCON Africa Cup of Nations game.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Sadio Mane of Senegal looks on during a 2025 AFCON Africa Cup of Nations game.

Senegal and Morocco have everything to play for on Sunday as two of Africa’s top sides meet in the Africa Cup of Nations final.

With the latest AFCON odds pointing toward a tight, low-scoring affair, my Senegal vs Morocco predictions lean toward the side better equipped for a high-pressure, winner-take-all setting.

Find out why in my free betting picks for January 18.

Senegal vs Morocco picks and predictions

Senegal vs Morocco best bet: Senegal to lift the trophy (+130 at Sports Interaction)

The AFCON final sets up as a tight, low-margin battle between the tournament’s two best defensive sides, with Senegal and Morocco conceding just three goals combined while allowing very few shots on target.

In a game likely decided by small moments, experience matters. Senegal are playing in their third AFCON final in four editions and are comfortable in these high-pressure spots.

They also carry more proven attacking punch, with Sadio Mané and Nicolas Jackson capable of producing goals from very little.

Morocco’s run through extra time and penalties in the semifinals adds a physical and mental tax, giving Senegal the edge.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Senegal vs Morocco same-game parlay (SGP)

Senegal moneyline

Over 8.5 corners

Both teams to score — No

Since we can't add "to lift the trophy" in the SGP, we will add value with Senegal moneyline (90 minutes only). 

They have proven they can be trusted in high-leverage spots and have enough match winners up front to make a difference. 

Senegal have had at least six corners in all three knockout games so far, so backing them for corners is a good bet. 

Morocco doesn't produce much by way of goals, and a matchup against a good defensive team isn't the answer. 

Senegal vs Morocco projected lineups

Senegal (4-3-3): Mendy, Diatta, Sarr, Niakhate, Diouf, Camara, Gueye, Gueye, Ndiaye, Jackson, Mane.

Injuries: Kalidou Koulibaly (Out), Habib Diarra (Out), Ilay Camada (Out), Assane Diao (Out). 

Morocco (4-1-4-1): Bono, Mazraoui, Masina, Aguerd, Hakimi, El Aynaoui, Ezzalzouli, Saibari, El Khannouss, Diaz, El Kaabi,

Injuries: Azzedine Ounahi (Out). 

Senegal vs Morocco odds

Senegal Morocco
+260 Moneyline +125
+187 Draw +187
Over 2.5 (+170) Total Under 2.5 (-250)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Senegal vs Morocco

Location Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat, Morocco
Time 2:00 p.m. ET
TV beIN Sports
Weather Light rain.

 Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade, honing his craft as a writer, editor, and handicapper. Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet', BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid. He also runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo