Man City vs Southampton Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday’s FA Cup Semifinal Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Man City vs. Southampton predictions expect the home side to cruise to victory and advance to the finale.

Erling Haaland Man City EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Erling Haaland celebrates a goal with Rayan Cherki in a match against Burnley.

We have a FA Cup semifinal battle under the famous Wembley arch between Manchester City and Southampton on Saturday, with a spot in the final at stake.

Man City are deep in a title race in the league, but their quality is clear, which is why our Man City vs. Southampton predictions and free betting picks expect them to win and keep a clean sheet against their Championship opposition.

Man City vs Southampton picks and predictions

My Man City vs Southampton best bet: Man City to win to nil (-110 at Sports Interaction)

Man City is the Premier League’s highest-scoring team, averaging exactly two goals per game against better opposition than Southampton.

Southampton have given up over a goal per game in the Championship, and sit mid-table in shots allowed per game at 12.2.

There’s always a risk of rotation for City, but they have a fairly clean bill of health and should have a strong defense, which is key to the clean sheet.

They’ve got the second-best defensive record in the league, and City have given up an average of under one goal per game, and are giving up just 9.8 shots per game.

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Man City vs Southampton same-game parlay (SGP)

Flynn Downes to be shown a card

Faylor Harwood-Bellis 1+ fouls

Man City first-half team total Over 0.5

Flynn Downes has picked up 12 yellow cards this season, and Downes has averaged a staggering card every 0.41 per 90 minutes on the pitch in the Championship, and faces a tough battle against the City midfield.

Former City graduate Taylor Harwood-Bellis will be desperate to impress against his former club. Harwood-Bellis has committed 0.77 fouls per 90 mins played, but will be matched up against Erling Haaland.

Man City are the only team in the Premier League to average over a goal scored per game in the opening 45 minutes of games and will want to get this game wrapped up early in order to rest players ahead of the title run-in.

Man City vs Southampton odds

Man City Southampton
-435 Moneyline +1000
+600 Draw +600
Over 3.5 (+100) Total Under 3.5 (-147)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Man City vs Southampton

Location Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
Date Saturday, April 25, 2026
Time 12:15 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Weather Mostly clear skies with a low chance of rain. 

Man City vs Southampton key injuries

Man City: Josko Gvardiol DEF (Out), Ruben Dias CB (Out), Rodri CM (Questionable).
Southampton: Mads Roerslev RB (Out), Alex McCarthy GK (Out), Jack Stephens CB (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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