Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tuesday’s Champions League Match

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 9, 2026 , 01:06 PM ET • 4 min read

Two shaky defenses will concede plenty of goals when Atletico Madrid and Tottenham lock horns this Tuesday, per our soccer expert.

Atletico Madrid Alexander Sorloth soccer
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Atletico Madrid's Alexander Sorloth celebrates a win.

Tottenham's recent run of form has exposed them to the real threat of getting relegated from the Premier League. They need to climb a mountain in terms of confidence to live up to the challenge of featuring in the Champions League Round of 16.

The two legs of their confrontation against Atletico Madrid could influence the outcome of their entire campaign. My Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham predictions and free betting picks for March 10 believe Spurs' desperation, combined with Atletico Madrid's volatility, will lead to goals.

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham picks and predictions

My Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham best bet: Over 2.5 (-154 at Sports Interaction)

Atletico Madrid's form is a mixed bag, but you can count on goals whenever they take the pitch.

They beat Barcelona 4-0 in the Spanish Cup semifinals first leg last month, only to lose at Barca's ground 3-0 in the return match.

Atletico have scored at least three goals in six of their last 10 across all competitions, but have conceded three times each against Barcelona, Rayo, and Brugge recently.

Tottenham have major defensive issues too with multiple goals conceded in six straight overall, so grab the Over.

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Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 2.5

Alexander Sorloth anytime goal

Over 9.5 corners

Over 3.5 cards

Alexander Sorloth has scored six goals in his last four games for Atletico. He's in great form, and Tottenham's unstable defense should have problems holding him back. 

Atletico Madrid had at least five corners in eight of their last nine games in the Spanish League. Tottenham average 4.97 corners per match themselves in the Premier League.

The potential for a tense encounter can easily lead to bookings. Dutch referee Serdar Gözübüyük will take charge in this match, and his average is four bookings per UCL game this season.

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham odds

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Tottenham Tottenham
-175 Moneyline +450
+320 Draw +320
Over 2.5 (-145) Total Under 2.5 (+105)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham

Location Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain
Date Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Time 4:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather 55F, 5 mph winds, 45% PoP.

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham key injuries

Atletico Madrid: Rodrigo Mendoza CM (Out).
Tottenham: Cristian Romero CB (Out), Destiny Udogie LB (Out), Ben Davies LB (Out), Djed Spence LB (Questionable), Lucas Bergvall CM (Out), Rodrigo Bentancur CM (Out), James Maddison AM (Out), Dejan Kulusevski FW (Out), Mohammed Kudus FW (Out), Wilson Odobert FW (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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