Sunday could be a major day in the Premier League title race with Arsenal hosting Chelsea in a tricky game.
Chelsea are unbeaten in their past six Premier League games, making this a tough game, which is why our Arsenal vs. Chelsea predictions expect Arsenal to have under 15.5 shots in total.
Find out more in my free betting picks for Sunday, March 1, with kickoff at 11:30 a.m. ET on NBCSN.
Premier League predictions for Arsenal vs Chelsea
My Arsenal vs Chelsea best bet: Arsenal Under 15.5 total shots (-137 at Sports Interaction)
Despite coming into this following a four-goal win against Spurs, and being tied in the EPL scoring race, this is an Arsenal team that is only averaging 14.7 shots per game across the entire Premier League season.
Chelsea is tied for the fourth-best defensive record in the league and ranks third-best in shots allowed per game, with an average of just 11. In 12 games, across all competitions, under Liam Rosenior, they’ve allowed 16+ shots just twice.
In their last league meeting in November, Arsenal had just eight shots.
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Arsenal vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)
Cole Palmer 1+ shots on target
Joao Pedro 1+ shots on target
Bukayo Saka 1+ shots on target
Cole Palmer comes into this with a shot on target in his past six Premier League starts, averaging 1.34 per 90 minutes played.
His average is just 0.91 shots on target per 90 minutes played, but Joao Pedro is in great form, with six goals in his past seven games in all competitions.
Bukayo Saka attempts 1.25 SOG per game and is the Gunners' main shot taker.
Arsenal vs Chelsea odds
Arsenal vs Chelsea live odds
Arsenal vs Chelsea opening odds
- Moneyline: Arsenal -159 | Chelsea +425
- Draw: +300
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-147) | Under 2.5 (+105)
How to watch Arsenal vs Chelsea
| Location | Emirates Stadium, London, England |
| Date | Sunday, March 1, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Weather | Light rain |
 Recent EPL form |
W-D-D-W-W |
 Recent EPL form |
D-D-W-W-W |
Arsenal vs Chelsea key injuries
Arsenal: Mikel Merino CM (Out), Kai Havertz FWR (Questionable).
Chelsea: Levi Colwill CB (Out), Romeo Lavia CM (Out), Marc Cucurella LB (Out), Filip Jorgensen GK (Out), Wesley Fofana CB (Out), Mykhailio Mudryk FWR (Out), Jamie Gittens FWR (Questionable), Estevao FWR (Questionable).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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