Good MLB Advice

Pitchers have about 5 stars under their belts, coming into form, managers are working out bull penn issues and batters are batters, hot and cold.

What does all this mean? This is the first adjustment time. Happens in NBA and NFL as well.

Vegas lines are getting sharper. This is when accomplished MLB players with good money management and a solid bankroll perservere and the squares get booted out - returning again in a bit only to get booted out during other adjustments coming in the season.

My advice is to cut back, pick your spots wisely and take it all in. Don't chase, don't play with scared money and most importantly make sure your system that worked last month is going to work today.

Although pitchers are always what determines the lines, teams are playing more like teams now and more of the whole team needs to be taken into consideration - meaning a hot team scoring 6-9 runs a game only needs an average outting from their pitching staff, starting pitcher included. There is motivation and momentum and stuff in their heads that don't ever get to the stat columns.

There are other little adjustment periods like....

around the all start break b4, after,
and towards the end of the season where every game counts and teams are going for play off spots and other teams don't care

.....that wreak havoc on systems and prior logic. I see it happen all the time.

Bottom line for me is to sit back and relax a bit, perhaps a week or two until things level off, adjust your systems play alittle more on paper and pick your spots wisely. What worked before may need adjusting before it works again today. JMHO.

GLTA

i do agree vegas lines do get sharper. and in baseball it is how much they charge you for a play,  so they can make a seasonal profit on bettors loses.

its best to repsect the book, because they are making $, 90% of the time.

which means that most bettors are not.

90%? I had them figured for 95%. Either way,l I agree, if they were not making loads of cash they would not be in the business.