LOCK Thread - 02.02.16 - Post Your LOCK

LOCK THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some LOCK choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "LOCK". The difference between a PICK and a LOCK is that a PICK is a game you like, a LOCK is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a LOCK, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your LOCK if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your LOCK on the spreadsheet.

Only 1 LOCK per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 LOCKS per week. 

A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.  You do not have to stay in one sport.

- No buying points for LOCKS.

- No other "line-manipulations: like teasers, etc.

- No parlays

- No props

- LOCKS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs if you feel like it is still a LOCK.

- Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the LOCK doesn't go into the spreadsheet.

Thanks Mozart!  I appreciate the kind words.

When I started the thread over on CBS at the end of 2006, it was like the wild west over there.  The Mods BARELY did anything, so it was just constant BS and ripping on each other.  You do need to keep it positive and, you can ask the old schoolers, if you ignore the haters and trolls, as a group, you can really get something done.  Once the stats start to separate themselves out and people understand who are the ones to tail, this thread can really start working.  The first year we had 6 or 7 LOCKers who were like 23-7 or better on their LOCKS and once people figured out who to tail, it was almost impossible to not win money.

We'll see if we can get it going over here, but I can attest that the concept DOES work, as long as everyone works together.  I will always say that even the most ordinary capper can hit around 60% if they are selective and understand the concept of a LOCK vs. a normal play.  4 LOCKS per week makes everyone very selective.

Thanks for hopping on board and glad to have you here.  Best of luck!

LOCK STANDINGS

I will post the LOCK Standings almost every day as long as the thread is going.  Only had two trackable LOCKS posted yesterday:

1-0 - magiccarpetride
0-1 - forty9ersfan80

There was another winner posted, but it wasn't within the LOCK-tracking rules.  Again, this is fine to post your plays, but if you want your LOCKS tracked, you need to post them with an original explanation as to why you KNOW your LOCK will win. 

Thanks and good luck. Many more games to choose from and a lot more from larger conferences.  Let's LOCK some winners today!

Hey guys  Please read the OP about what LOCKS I will track and what PICK I won't.  If you want your LOCKS to be tracked, make sure you have an original writeup explaining your LOCK.  Please don't just post your favorite play of the day.  Post your LOCK and tell us why you KNOW it will win.

Thanks and good luck!

Also, guys, I am still trying to get comfortable with the boards here on Covers.  If I am missing anything or doing anything wrong, please call it to my attention.

Thanks and good luck today!

Thanks, bubbaski!  Your LOCK is on the spreadsheet!

Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

Good luck today everyone.  I might have an EPL lock, waiting on official lineups though.

Hey, I didn't know you were an EPL guy, bk.  Who is your team?

Also, glad to see that you are waiting for lineups to post your LOCK.  Its kind of hard for me to believe that there can be a soccer LOCK without knowing what players they are putting out there for the game.

GL!