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*** NFL Sunday Ticket *** Week 5

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Posted: #1
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

I bet the Ravens to win the division as one of 3 division winner bets I’ve made this season (Redskins, Bears) - so while I really want them to win this game, the Browns to me are the clear right side. I would put Cleveland’s defense in the top 6 or 7 in the league, and #1 in terms of defenses that nobody is talking about. Yeah they gave up 45 points to the Raiders, but that was helped tremendously by 4 turnovers and very poor officiating. The Browns should have won last week, and I think they have a great chance to beat the Ravens this week as well. 

The fact that Cleveland gave up 45 in a fluke game, makes people forget that they held the Saints to 21 points in New Orleans just a few weeks ago. This is the start of the new era for the team, so I like their defense to show up big here in what is their first divisional game with their new franchise QB.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

Yes the Bears are far improved this year, but one of the reasons I took them to win the division a week ago was because the Vikings aren't the same team as they were last year; and the Packers in my opinion, was on a downward trend. I faded the Packers last week and they won 22-0, but my opinion stays the same. I was definitely excited to bet against the Packers but the Bills were obviously too inept to take advantage – but I think things will be different this Sunday. I expect the Lions to blowout a Green Bay team who has a ton of problems rn. Detroit should be able to take advantage of what Buffalo couldn’t. 
  • Lions PK (4x)
  • Browns +3 +100 (3x)
  • Ravens TT Under 24 (1x)
  • Giants +6.5 (3.5x)
  • Jets -103 (2x)
  • Bills +6 -118 (2x)
  • 49ers -3.5 (2.5x)
  • Eagles TT Under 24.5 -115 (1.5x)
  • Lions +7 / Browns +10 -120 (1.5x)
  • Vikings +10 / Browns +10 -120 (1x)
NFL YTD: 34-9 ATS +58.29 Units

 
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Posted: #2

an_violin

 
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Posted: #3
Brown and lions ...

BOL LC...
 
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Posted: #4

awesome job you are doing this year, congrats!!   whats your opinion on Atl/Pitt game??  thanks

 
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Posted: #5
I hate that I only agree with one of your picks (Giants). Doesn’t bode well for me lol
 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

people forget that they held the Saints to 21 points in New Orleans


And The Ravens held them to 14. Ill take the Superbowl champ over Mayfield. The under is 45.5.. but Mayfield is short, a rookie, and playing his first good defense... Seems like the formula for another pick 6 day... which is why I'm staying away from the under as well.

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

 

  • Lions PK (4x)



Good pick. I picked the Packers earlier in the week.. before the injury onslaught.. o well. Early lines almost always better value. Took the Under 51 for a semi hedge.

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Str8C4shH0mi3:



And The Ravens held them to 14. Ill take the Superbowl champ over Mayfield. The under is 45.5.. but Mayfield is short, a rookie, and playing his first good defense... Seems like the formula for another pick 6 day... which is why I'm staying away from the under as well.

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

 

  • Lions PK (4x)



Good pick. I picked the Packers earlier in the week.. before the injury onslaught.. o well. Early lines almost always better value. Took the Under 51 for a semi hedge.



***HELD THE STEELERS
 
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Posted: #8
No Seahawks 
 
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Posted: #9
thought the Hawks would be on your card....
 
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Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland BrownsI bet the Ravens to win the division as one of 3 division winner bets I’ve made this season (Redskins, Bears) - so while I really want them to win this game, the Browns to me are the clear right side. I would put Cleveland’s defense in the top 6 or 7 in the league, and #1 in terms of defenses that nobody is talking about. Yeah they gave up 45 points to the Raiders, but that was helped tremendously by 4 turnovers and very poor officiating. The Browns should have won last week, and I think they have a great chance to beat the Ravens this week as well. The fact that Cleveland gave up 45 in a fluke game, makes people forget that they held the Saints to 21 points in New Orleans just a few weeks ago. This is the start of the new era for the team, so I like their defense to show up big here in what is their first divisional game with their new franchise QB.Detroit Lions @ Green Bay PackersYes the Bears are far improved this year, but one of the reasons I took them to win the division a week ago was because the Vikings aren't the same team as they were last year; and the Packers in my opinion, was on a downward trend. I faded the Packers last week and they won 22-0, but my opinion stays the same. I was definitely excited to bet against the Packers but the Bills were obviously too inept to take advantage – but I think things will be different this Sunday. I expect the Lions to blowout a Green Bay team who has a ton of problems rn. Detroit should be able to take advantage of what Buffalo couldn’t. Lions PK (4x)Browns +3 +100 (3x)Ravens TT Under 24 (1x)Giants +6.5 (3.5x)Jets -103 (2x)Bills +6 -118 (2x)49ers -3.5 (2.5x)Eagles TT Under 24.5 -115 (1.5x)Lions +7 / Browns +10 -120 (1.5x)Vikings +10 / Browns +10 -120 (1x)NFL YTD: 34-9 ATS +58.29 Units

 

 

BOL I had all the same plays except I liked Ari over the Niners. 

 
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Posted: #11
Had a strong play scheduled on hawks but I ended up downgrading it and then passing altogether due to the injury. Earl Thomas is just too important to that defense. We’ll be fading the Rams soon, but holding off this weekend 
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by PublicJoe:

awesome job you are doing this year, congrats!!   whats your opinion on Atl/Pitt game??  thanks


Both teams desperate for a win, easy pass for me 
 
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Posted: #13
Lions 

GL 
 
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Posted: #14
LC,

I like jags this week. Have a feeling PM will struggle and go to NE and KC beat NE next week.
Any lean for this game?
 
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Posted: #15
Thanks LC, we appreciate it
 
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Posted: #16

i like your card but i hate to bet against baltimorenew_jaw_drop

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland BrownsI bet the Ravens to win the division as one of 3 division winner bets I’ve made this season (Redskins, Bears) - so while I really want them to win this game, the Browns to me are the clear right side. I would put Cleveland’s defense in the top 6 or 7 in the league, and #1 in terms of defenses that nobody is talking about. Yeah they gave up 45 points to the Raiders, but that was helped tremendously by 4 turnovers and very poor officiating. The Browns should have won last week, and I think they have a great chance to beat the Ravens this week as well. The fact that Cleveland gave up 45 in a fluke game, makes people forget that they held the Saints to 21 points in New Orleans just a few weeks ago. This is the start of the new era for the team, so I like their defense to show up big here in what is their first divisional game with their new franchise QB.Detroit Lions @ Green Bay PackersYes the Bears are far improved this year, but one of the reasons I took them to win the division a week ago was because the Vikings aren't the same team as they were last year; and the Packers in my opinion, was on a downward trend. I faded the Packers last week and they won 22-0, but my opinion stays the same. I was definitely excited to bet against the Packers but the Bills were obviously too inept to take advantage – but I think things will be different this Sunday. I expect the Lions to blowout a Green Bay team who has a ton of problems rn. Detroit should be able to take advantage of what Buffalo couldn’t. Lions PK (4x)Browns +3 +100 (3x)Ravens TT Under 24 (1x)Giants +6.5 (3.5x)Jets -103 (2x)Bills +6 -118 (2x)49ers -3.5 (2.5x)Eagles TT Under 24.5 -115 (1.5x)Lions +7 / Browns +10 -120 (1.5x)Vikings +10 / Browns +10 -120 (1x)NFL YTD: 34-9 ATS +58.29 Units

 

the site I'm using doesn't give the option for the TT but I followed your card other than those two picks BOL thanks for the great info man very much appreciated! I look forward to your insight throughout the season from here on out!

 
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Posted: #18

Such retarded comments the man is 34-9, I don’t think he cares anyone else’s opinion

 
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Posted: #19
League Capper.....hard to questions any of your selections based on the run you are on, but I am really struggling to see any value in the NY Giants +6.5 and you have them as your 2nd highest rated play this week.

First, they are traveling to play against a team that should be well rested and well healed coming off of a bye.

I realize this is not the best way to compare teams "week to week", but Carolina did a real "beat down" on Dallas the first week of the season winning easier then the 16-8 (by 8) score would indicate.  Dallas was never really in the game.  Then I look at how bad Dallas outplayed the Giants the next week winning 20-13 (by 7).  Next, I look at how Carolina beat the Bengals the week before their bye 31-21 (by 10) and we just saw the Bengals go on the road and get the win in Atlanta.

When I look at this entire picture, to me it adds up to Carolina winning and covering the 6.5 points.  There must be some match-up problems or something else I am not considering.  What is it that makes you so high on the Giants this week?

Thanks in advance for your thoughts and BOL!
 
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Posted: #20
Love all the picks. LC. It's a dog's week for sure this week. Niners are the only faves I love, which you have.
 
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Posted: #21
LC,  


BOL this weekend.   Nice to see you on the Lions as they were my survivor pick along with the Pats.  But according to the new breed of covers trolls like ILost20Grand you should definitely change this card up.  It’s just too sharp. 
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by Ilost20grand:

Its possible you go 0-19 units this weekend.    Change your card now

Unnecessary

 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by Ilost20grand:

Its possible you go 0-19 units this weekend.    Change your card now
Unnecessary

 

they hate us cause they aint us new_laugh_cry

 

they hate us cause they aint us new_laugh_cry

 
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Posted: #24
Best of Luck LC
 
 
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Posted: #25
You're intentionally hedging your Batlmore to win the division here LC (a good bet to win the div.) but I think that's giving you unwarranted confidence in the Browns.

Until Hue can get his head out of his as*, I can't trust this coaching staff. They go out of their way to lose games.
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