All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

* NFL Sunday Ticket * Week 5

...

Participants:

Posts: 253

scalabrine

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 28221

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 3:50 PM ET #226

Hello FBI,

I have a question:

Why do you have one detective trying to solve ten murders?

Oh, that’s not right? Your detectives are solving ONE murder per detective???

Ah I see. That makes sense.

Lesson:

(With a week to cap a game, one game is like a murder).

Solve one. Not ten (which happens to be the number of picks in the OP). And you’ll catch the culprit.

That’s all I’ll say on this.

The storm clouds are on the horizon.

I don’t do this to be popular among anonymous men who lick cheese doodle grease off this fingertips.

I do this to help others win.

Sayonara.

Titusblink

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6737

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 3:54 PM ET #227

Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports:

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Titus,I’ve seen this too many times.LC and I have had this conversation many times before.It all comes down to one thing:He bets too many games for too many units.If he bet ONE or at most two games a weekend, I’d cheer him on.But this volume is the bane of a bettor.The one thing, I repeat, the ONE thing the books want is for you to bet and bet and bet some more. And then bet again. Why? VOLUME is their moneymaker and LC is a classic volume bettor.They juice you on all your wins.They make you chase your losses.They get you so overly excited about lines, you are checking them on your phone every 15 minutes every day, for even a half point movement.Then have you. You have a disease. Unless you have it under control.Diversification for volume’s sake is not the solution for a winning gambler. Some people do it. It’s very very few.I’m trying to help someone here and I’m being made into a villain.You will see: Week 16 LC will have fewer units than he has today. I don’t even know what he’s up. That will be in the next thread. I’ll keep a note of it. LC has honest accounting (like myself but my record became a paparazzi show so I leave it out now).And the end result will be this:11 WEEKS of capping to LOSE money.And worst of all, to be attacked left and right for all the people who boarded the money ship after it set sail and sunk.I’m saving him money. I’ve been here a dozen years. These hot starts sputter out and die. For volume bettors IT DOES NOT LAST.You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.GL LC. Just trying to help. I’ll say no more.No good deed goes unpunished.

You've seen, I've seen it, anybody who has been here for a bit has seen it !! Blah, blah, blah, blah. Just running your mouth non stop. Oh wait !! You are trying to save everyone from themselves. Good Lord Scal, just stop with the stirring up of crap in LC's thread. Last warning

To be clear Houston, to the casual bettor deciding 'hey let me put an advance on my CC and tail LC', to these guys, Scal's words have merit (said in a better way of course)... Namely lines get sharper, you are playing against yourself betting volume, the psychology of betting and books etc... But none of this Scal, draws the conclusion that LC should be boxed.. and to be fair, saying LC will have less units by the end of the season than today - that is also unfounded and uncalled for... Sure, volume betting, the odds say will result in less units 15 weeks forward - that is statistics my dear Watson... But do you think LC is an amateur and that beyond a astrophysicists PHD degree in reading lines, that he does not understand all these angles, stats, psychology, long term volume betting etc...? To say he will have fewer units is hating my friend and it doesnt become of you.. LC obviously will do what he does, offer your view, if you want, to stick to your high conviction plays and ignore the rest. Beyond that, you are clearly overstepping my friend.. and to be clear, you know you are... Another thought - LC's unit tiering is a clear way to beat the statistics... Conviction plays being 2-3x his volume plays....

Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports:

Titusblink

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6737

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 3:56 PM ET #228

Quote Originally Posted by happy buddha:

omg this is hilarious lol......... let's focus on tonite.

Great value add... was never said... Stay out of this... you focus on tonight orrrr be my guest and say something meaningful

JamieR44

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2015

Posts: 652

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 3:56 PM ET #229

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Hello FBI,I have a question:Why do you have one detective trying to solve ten murders?Oh, that’s not right? Your detectives are solving ONE murder per detective???Ah I see. That makes sense.Lesson:(With a week to cap a game, one game is like a murder).Solve one. Not ten (which happens to be the number of picks in the OP). And you’ll catch the culprit.That’s all I’ll say on this.The storm clouds are on the horizon.I don’t do this to be popular among anonymous men who lick cheese doodle grease off this fingertips.I do this to help others win.Sayonara.

Ha! And now, he's a dietitian, too.

Enjoy the box. We'll be on the other side, watching, and winning.

Irish7878

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2017

Posts: 2838

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 4:05 PM ET #230

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

Nice attitude! Make less bets, for less money, and let it roll!

You’ll see. The rate at which he’s hitting is not sustainable. And that’s not an insult.It’s just a reality of capping. There will be a losing streak forthcoming and he has won so much money in such a short time, calling it a season, even in week 5, would be wise and admirable.Know when to get up from the table with your chips.You’ll learn one day. I did. Most of us did.

Oh Wise One!!!

You're right - this is just a short term deal, being on fire. This must be stopped! Over the long term, we're ALL DOOMED! Only YOU, (The Mighty One that Deserves the Attention You so very Eagerly Crave) can truly "time the market" when it comes to Sports Betting!! Bravo Scal!!! Thank you for being The Guardian of All Degenerates and Leader of the Free World in Fading Rutgers. You are Amazing! You are The Seer!! You are.....(drumroll....) Full of All that Resides Deep Within You!!! AMEN!!!

Sincerely,

Amazon, Microsoft, & Apple stock

Junk Bonds

The Dow Jones Industrials

Real Estate Values in Las Vegas & Phoenix

Kanye's Popularity Ratings with African-Americans

theclaw

All-Star

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 12133

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 5:12 PM ET #231

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Titus,

I’ve seen this too many times.

LC and I have had this conversation many times before.

It all comes down to one thing:

He bets too many games for too many units.

If he bet ONE or at most two games a weekend, I’d cheer him on.

But this volume is the bane of a bettor.

The one thing, I repeat, the ONE thing the books want is for you to bet and bet and bet some more. And then bet again. Why? VOLUME is their moneymaker and LC is a classic volume bettor.

They juice you on all your wins.

They make you chase your losses.

They get you so overly excited about lines, you are checking them on your phone every 15 minutes every day, for even a half point movement.

Then have you. You have a disease. Unless you have it under control.

Diversification for volume’s sake is not the solution for a winning gambler. Some people do it. It’s very very few.

I’m trying to help someone here and I’m being made into a villain.

You will see: Week 16 LC will have fewer units than he has today. I don’t even know what he’s up. That will be in the next thread. I’ll keep a note of it. LC has honest accounting (like myself but my record became a paparazzi show so I leave it out now).

And the end result will be this:

11 WEEKS of capping to LOSE money.

And worst of all, to be attacked left and right for all the people who boarded the money ship after it set sail and sunk.

I’m saving him money. I’ve been here a dozen years. These hot starts sputter out and die. For volume bettors IT DOES NOT LAST.

You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.

GL LC. Just trying to help. I’ll say no more.

No good deed goes unpunished.

The book does not juice you on wins only losses. It is the same juice per game regardless of how many games you play.

If you can win with fewer bets beating the juice you can do it on more bets as long as your info is very solid and your not making plays just to make plays but have very solid info to make those plays.

And not only that but playing more games allows one to win a lower % and make more money because of volume.

A guy winning 60 % could easily win more money then a guy winning 70% by doing nothing more then playing far more games.

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Titus,

I’ve seen this too many times.

LC and I have had this conversation many times before.

It all comes down to one thing:

He bets too many games for too many units.

If he bet ONE or at most two games a weekend, I’d cheer him on.

But this volume is the bane of a bettor.

The one thing, I repeat, the ONE thing the books want is for you to bet and bet and bet some more. And then bet again. Why? VOLUME is their moneymaker and LC is a classic volume bettor.

They juice you on all your wins.

They make you chase your losses.

They get you so overly excited about lines, you are checking them on your phone every 15 minutes every day, for even a half point movement.

Then have you. You have a disease. Unless you have it under control.

Diversification for volume’s sake is not the solution for a winning gambler. Some people do it. It’s very very few.

I’m trying to help someone here and I’m being made into a villain.

And the end result will be this:

11 WEEKS of capping to LOSE money.

And worst of all, to be attacked left and right for all the people who boarded the money ship after it set sail and sunk.

I’m saving him money. I’ve been here a dozen years. These hot starts sputter out and die. For volume bettors IT DOES NOT LAST.

You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.

GL LC. Just trying to help. I’ll say no more.

No good deed goes unpunished.

The book does not juice you on wins only losses. It is the same juice per game regardless of how many games you play.

And not only that but playing more games allows one to win a lower % and make more money because of volume.

A guy winning 60 % could easily win more money then a guy winning 70% by doing nothing more then playing far more games.

theclaw

All-Star

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 12133

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 5:15 PM ET #232

LC is putting together one of the great, great runs this site has ever seen.

Incredible ...................

GrindItOut44

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2013

Posts: 568

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 7:03 PM ET #233

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Quote Originally Posted by Titusblink:

Scal you know I love you. I am on your team over many years and that will never change... But honestly, why are you dragging boxing LC into any conversation. you are calling for a boxing of him because what? because his record is not sustainable? You are a man of logic Scal, what kind of logic are you holding onto here? Of course this record is next to impossible to sustain, and of course the haters will bring the noise, they already have with one game losses... LC will either ignore it or say eff this, I dont need it... It's obviously his choice. But box him, are you serious? On what merits? Calm the eff down my brother, look at yourself in the mirror and know you're the man. And please stop bringing noise onto LC, what's the point? and let's be clear you are 100% in the wrong... You sound like the haters or your even less dignifying term (vermin) that are nearly intolerable

Titus,I’ve seen this too many times.LC and I have had this conversation many times before.It all comes down to one thing:He bets too many games for too many units.If he bet ONE or at most two games a weekend, I’d cheer him on.But this volume is the bane of a bettor.The one thing, I repeat, the ONE thing the books want is for you to bet and bet and bet some more. And then bet again. Why? VOLUME is their moneymaker and LC is a classic volume bettor.They juice you on all your wins.They make you chase your losses.They get you so overly excited about lines, you are checking them on your phone every 15 minutes every day, for even a half point movement.Then have you. You have a disease. Unless you have it under control.Diversification for volume’s sake is not the solution for a winning gambler. Some people do it. It’s very very few.I’m trying to help someone here and I’m being made into a villain.You will see: Week 16 LC will have fewer units than he has today. I don’t even know what he’s up. That will be in the next thread. I’ll keep a note of it. LC has honest accounting (like myself but my record became a paparazzi show so I leave it out now).And the end result will be this:11 WEEKS of capping to LOSE money.And worst of all, to be attacked left and right for all the people who boarded the money ship after it set sail and sunk.I’m saving him money. I’ve been here a dozen years. These hot starts sputter out and die. For volume bettors IT DOES NOT LAST.You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.GL LC. Just trying to help. I’ll say no more.No good deed goes unpunished.

I actually was going to stay out of this but are you really this big of a D-bag? It seems like you have given the impression through your posts that your are doing this as a public service, to help everyone, that you don't wish LC any ill will, blah, blah, blah, Then I ask What the FUECK is that I bolded above??? So because LC doesn't bet in a way that you agree with you're cheering against him? Really so you want him to lose? And the people following him? WOW!! What the FUECK is wrong with you? You're not on here warning everyone and LC because you are a good guy, you're on here spewing a bunch of negativity, apparently because the spotlight is not on you!! I think it's very evident that it seriously chaps your hide that LC is having the success he is having, betting in a manner that fly's directly in the face of what you assume is the 1 and only way a person can bet successfully and that really pisses you off, so your are Pissing on everyone's parade because of it.

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

bigdude

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 3461

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 7:21 PM ET #234

Comparing betting to murders ? Whoa homie you got to much time on your hands . Why clog my mans thread ?233 posts ?? This is Why the good ones leave. He’s hot now !

Ride with him or don’t !

St2ee

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 7947

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 7:45 PM ET #235

It is only a 17 week season.........I have started pistol hot some years, and others as slow as smoked Brisket......So has LC over the years. Point is, we don't change our capping methods because of streaks.....Not sure who kidnapped Scals Acct, but he doesn't seem like himself........maybe he is having a rough time elsewhere in life. God Bless if that is the case....Life is hard enough sometimes.

wmi799

Banned

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 33652

Posted: Oct. 8, 2018 - 7:47 PM ET #236

Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

It is only a 17 week season.........I have started pistol hot some years, and others as slow as smoked Brisket......So has LC over the years. Point is, we don't change our capping methods because of streaks.....Not sure who kidnapped Scals Acct, but he doesn't seem like himself........maybe he is having a rough time elsewhere in life. God Bless if that is the case....Life is hard enough sometimes.

No. He's just jealous and not the center of attention he craves

Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad

CrackAttack

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 354

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 7:53 PM ET #237

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

People who are not betting his roll want the party to continue forever.Eventually, it’s closing time and the lights go out.You’ll see.If he keeps betting at this volume, there will be consequences. More specifically, damage to the roll and the opportunity cost of spending your time bettering yourself elsewhere, and instead you spend it capping, only to lose more roll.No disrespect LC. What you’ve done so far has been masterclass capping.I’ve said my piece. I’d like to be proven wrong because no one will listen.Scalabrine out.

Scalabrine, since you asked for it, "I’ve said my piece. I’d like to be proven wrong because no one will listen.", LC has proved you wrong!

an_shake

CrackAttack

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 354

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 8:04 PM ET #238

LC's record and +/- units when Scal made his claim:

NFL YTD: 43-10 ATS +75.04 Units

after W16

NFL YTD: 108-55 ATS +94.11 Units

after W17
NFL YTD: 111-59 ATS (65.3%) +95.91 Units

CrackAttack

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 354

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 8:06 PM ET #239

Quote Originally Posted by CrackAttack:

LC's record and +/- units when Scal made his claim:

NFL YTD: 43-10 ATS +75.04 Units

after W16

NFL YTD: 108-55 ATS +94.11 Units

after W17
NFL YTD: 111-59 ATS (65.3%) +95.91 Units

Still up another approximate 20 units since the haters came out. Most cappers would love to be up 20 units after the end of the season.

LC, you're the real deal, thanks for all your hard work and contributions to this site!!!

CrackAttack

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 354

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 8:07 PM ET #240

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Titus,

I’ve seen this too many times.

LC and I have had this conversation many times before.

It all comes down to one thing:

He bets too many games for too many units.

If he bet ONE or at most two games a weekend, I’d cheer him on.

But this volume is the bane of a bettor.

The one thing, I repeat, the ONE thing the books want is for you to bet and bet and bet some more. And then bet again. Why? VOLUME is their moneymaker and LC is a classic volume bettor.

They juice you on all your wins.

They make you chase your losses.

They get you so overly excited about lines, you are checking them on your phone every 15 minutes every day, for even a half point movement.

Then have you. You have a disease. Unless you have it under control.

Diversification for volume’s sake is not the solution for a winning gambler. Some people do it. It’s very very few.

I’m trying to help someone here and I’m being made into a villain.

And the end result will be this:

11 WEEKS of capping to LOSE money.

And worst of all, to be attacked left and right for all the people who boarded the money ship after it set sail and sunk.

I’m saving him money. I’ve been here a dozen years. These hot starts sputter out and die. For volume bettors IT DOES NOT LAST.

You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.

GL LC. Just trying to help. I’ll say no more.

No good deed goes unpunished.

You’ll see. Week 16 will be fewer units than the amount he has today.

LoveCFB1_

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 3326

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 8:18 PM ET #241

Quote Originally Posted by CrackAttack:

Quote Originally Posted by CrackAttack:

LC's record and +/- units when Scal made his claim:NFL YTD: 43-10 ATS +75.04 Unitsafter W16NFL YTD: 108-55 ATS +94.11 Unitsafter W17NFL YTD: 111-59 ATS (65.3%) +95.91 Units

Still up another approximate 20 units since the haters came out. Most cappers would love to be up 20 units after the end of the season.LC, you're the real deal, thanks for all your hard work and contributions to this site!!!

One heck of a year!!!!!!