Posted: 11/25/2011 7:20:44 AM
In 3 previous years, favorite is 0-3 ATS but 3-0 SU. Arguably, BC has the better defense especially in last 2 months when Winnipeg defense has allowed most points and more than Saskatchewan. When both defenses are strong, the key determinants might be offenses and special teams. Since Winnipeg is worst in penalties and "twos and outs", offense is more lilely to struggle.
Underdogs must win turnover battles to have a chance. But if BC wins that battle. Winnipeg is in trouble. BC rarely self-destructs but Winnipeg has allowed more turnovers. Pierce is more likely to be pressured than Lulay because Winnipeg is 2nd worst in allowing sacks while BC is #1 in fewest sacks allowed. As with Ricky Ray, loud noise and weak QB protection may cause more errors by Pierce.