There isn't usually much in the name of star power when the PGA Tour heads to Port Royal Golf Course for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, but there's still a fair bit to play for as the 2023 FedEx Cup Fall soon comes to a close.
This year's edition is headlined by Masters champion Adam Scott and 2019 Bermuda winner Brendon Todd, with a handful of youngsters rounding out the Top 5 below them.
Live odds to win 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship picks and predictions
Brendon Todd over Adam Scott (-110)
The first item on this week’s agenda was to find a way to fade Adam Scott — and this is where I’ve landed.
For as good of a golfer as Scott can still be at 43 years old, he's incredibly feast or famine. That makes him very unreliable week to week, especially as the solo betting favorite he is at Port Royal.
He’s made nine starts going back to the U.S. Open in June and once you look past two T7s (Wyndham, BMW PGA) and a T19 (Travelers), you’re left with four missed cuts and nothing else better than T33.
The Aussie is coming off a MC-T41 stretch in two Japan events in October and while his numbers are great relative to this crappy field, Todd’s numbers are comparable across the board and his recent results might just be even better (three Top 7s and no MCs in his last seven starts).
However, the even bigger edge lies in Todd’s experience at Port Royal. Scott will be making his tournament debut this week vs. Todd who’s played here twice and won by four shots in 2019.
He finished sixth at the Fortinet last time out and I think he can take advantage of this matchup against the inconsistent Aussie.
Pick: Brendon Todd over Adam Scott (-110 at bet365)
Ben Griffin Top 20 (+125)
Ben Griffin’s been hit or miss to start the season, but he could very easily have a win to his name if not for coughing up a six-shot, 54-hole lead at the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Well, he’ll have somewhat similar memories this week after having a share of the 54-hole lead at Port Royal a season ago. He posted a 1-over 72 on Sunday to finish T3, two shots back of champion Seamus Power.
However, his first three rounds (65-64-66) prove he’s comfortable on this track and while he fell flat after the Sanderson Farms runner-up, he got back in the mix with a T23 in Mexico last week.
Considering his performance here a year ago, some decent results to start the season, and the insanely light field he’ll be up against, I love his chances at getting back into contention this week.
Pick: Ben Griffin Top 20 (+125 at bet365)
Butterfield Bermuda Championship field and favorites
As mentioned at the onset, World No. 45 Adam Scott is alone atop the odds board at Port Royal with odds of +1,600.
The Aussie hasn't won on the PGA Tour since 2020 and has seen his total true strokes gained metric (DataGolf) drop in each of the last four years. With that said, he's still capable of great golf considering he posted a handful of quality finishes over the summer.
Second on the board at 18/1 is 2019 champion Brendon Todd, who enters in decent form with Top-7 finishes in three of his last six starts dating back to the John Deere Classic in July. In his 2019 win, he posted a second-round 63 and a 62 on Sunday to win by four shots.
Next up is Akshay Bhatia at +2,000, who got his first PGA Tour win at the Barracuda Championship in July and is back in form after going T21 at the ZOZO and T10 at the WWT last week.
Rounding out the Top 5 is Thomas Detry (20/1) and Alex Noren (22/1). 2021 champ Lucas Herbert is also available at 22/1 with 2020 winner Brian Gay also in the field, available at +25,000.
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent Bermuda Championship winners and their closing odds to win:
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.