Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Maple Leafs are stuck in a rut and will lean on captain Auston Matthews to stop the skid against the Sabres.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Jan 27, 2026 • 14:02 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
TOR
47 %
BUF
53 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Auston Matthews o3.5  Shots On Goal (-170) Auston Matthews o3.5 Shots On Goal (-170)
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Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) skates with the puck behind the net.

There are 10 games on the NHL slate tonight, including an interdivisional matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Buffalo Sabres.

It's a must-win game for the Maple Leafs tonight whose playoff hopes are dwindling, and I think Auston Matthews will deliver with a vintage performance to help snap the skid.

Find out why with my free NHL picks and Sabres vs. Maple Leafs predictions for this January 27.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs prediction

Sabres vs Maple Leafs best bet: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots (-170)

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter tonight’s matchup against the Buffalo Sabres aiming to snap a four-game losing streak, and they’ll need their captain to help elevate them from the ashes. 

Auston Matthews has been held pointless in three straight games, but that’s not for a lack of trying. 

In those games, Matthews has registered 15 shots on goal, averaging five per contest. 

His shot total tonight is set at 3.5, a number he’s cleared in three of his last five outings, and in eight of the last 10 games against Buffalo.

Matthews has always had a lot of success against Buffalo throughout his career. He’s averaging 4.2 shots per game over the last 10 meetings between these two teams, finding the back of the net 10 times. 

Additionally, the Sabres have been susceptible to allowing lofty shot totals against them lately, allowing an average of 31.8 shots over their last five games.

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Sabres vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay

The Maple Leafs spend more time in the defensive zone than any other team in hockey. Which has been a common theme throughout this four-game losing streak, which has resulted in 145 shots against in that stretch for an average of 36.25 shots allowed. 

With Joseph Woll’s save total set at 24.5, the Over seems like a strong play tonight. 

For my final leg, I’m going to take the Leafs on the moneyline. It’s a must win game for them tonight, and I expect them to be playing with a high-level of desperation.

They’ve also won six of the last seven meetings between these two clubs. 

Sabres vs Maple Leafs SGP

  • Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots
  • Joseph Woll Over 24.5 saves
  • Leafs moneyline

Sabres vs Maple Leafs odds

  • Moneyline: Buffalo -105 | Toronto -115
  • Puck Line: Buffalo +1.5 (-250) | Toronto -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-118) | Under 6.5 (-102)

Sabres vs Maple Leafs trend

The Over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Sabres vs. Maple Leafs.

How to watch Sabres vs Maple Leafs

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Tuesday, January 27, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV MSG-B, TSN4

Sabres vs Maple Leafs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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