Rangers vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Parker's prediction: Tkachuk drives Senators' offense.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Dec 4, 2025 • 11:58 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
OTT
41 %
NYR
59 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Brady Tkachuk o3.5  Shots On Goal (+125) Brady Tkachuk o3.5 Shots On Goal (+125)
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Ottawa Senators left wing Brady Tkachuk (7) skates with the puck.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Ottawa Senators left wing Brady Tkachuk (7) skates with the puck.

The Ottawa Senators host the New York Rangers at the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, December 4, and my Rangers vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks are headlined by Ottawa captain Brady Tkachuk.

Rangers vs Senators prediction

Rangers vs Senators Best bet: Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots on goal (+115)

Ottawa Senators captain Brady Tkachuk recorded three shots on 10 attempts last time out, and he’s recorded a team-high 13 shots on 25 attempts through three games since returning from injury.

Tkachuk has also tilted the ice in his favor with a 56.6 Corsi For percentage and 58.3% shot share at five-on-five, and jumps the boards as a go-to shooter on the No. 1 power-play unit.

Remember, too, Tkachuk paced the NHL in shots per 60 minutes and ranked second in attempts per 60 last season.

This isn’t a tough matchup, either.

The New York Rangers have allowed a healthy 28.5 shots per game, and New York, playing without No. 1 defenseman Adam Fox, is going to catch up with the Blueshirts, too. 

He leads New York with a 57.5 CF%, and in particular, partner Vladislav Gavrikov drops from a 56.2 CF% when playing with Fox to a miserable 42.3% mark without.

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Rangers vs Senators same-game parlay

Ottawa has won 28 of its past 43 home games, and New York is missing a key defenseman. I’m also expecting Sens backup Leevi Merilainen to continue his improved play on home ice. He’s won all three starts with a solid .912 save percentage at the Canadian Tire Centre.

Rangers vs Senators SGP

  • Senators moneyline
  • Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots
  • Leevi Merilainen Over 22.5 saves

Rangers vs Senators odds

  • Moneyline: Rangers +130 | Senators -150
  • Puck Line: Rangers +1.5 (-200) | Senators -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Rangers vs Senators trend

The Ottawa Senators have won 28 of their last 43 games at home (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Rangers vs. Senators.

How to watch Rangers vs Senators

Location Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date Thursday, December 4, 2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV MSG, TSN5

Rangers vs Senators latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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