The Dallas Stars topped the Edmonton Oilers 6-3 in the Western Conference Final series opener, and the two teams hit the ice for Game 2 at the American Airlines Center on Friday, May 23.
A poor third period from Edmonton was the difference in Game 1, and my Oilers vs. Stars predictions and NHL picks anticipate this series heading north to Rogers Place tied 1-1.
Who will win Oilers vs Stars Game 2?
The Game 1 final score wasn’t totally indicative of the five-on-five play, with the Oilers winning the possession and expected goals battles. Edmonton superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl were also solid as usual, and I’m not expecting Dallas to tally up three power-play goals in less than six minutes like they did to start the third period Wednesday night.
Edmonton bounces back with a Game 2 victory.
Oilers vs Stars prediction
My Oilers vs Stars pick: Oilers moneyline (+110 at BET99)
The Edmonton Oilers drove five-on-five possession with a 55.5 Corsi For percentage and won the expected-goals battle at 59% clip in Game 1. Edmonton also held a 3-1 lead going into the third period before surrendering five unanswered to the Dallas Stars.
I’m not overreacting to a sloppy final frame from the Oil. Dallas scored three times with the man advantage and added an empty-net goal.
Edmonton starter Stuart Skinner did his job at 5-on-5 with a .909 save percentage and 0.10 goals saved above expected. A repeat performance will lay the foundation for an Oilers win in Game 2 because I’m not anticipating another parade to the penalty box.
Additionally, the Edmonton offense was solid.
Connor McDavid’s line with Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins finished with a 75.0 CF% and 84.4 xGF% at 5-on-5, while Leon Draisaitl also drove possession with a 61.3 CF% despite having a carousel of wingers on his flanks.
This has the makings of a long, hard-fought series, and I fully expect McDavid and Draisaitl to lead the way in winning fashion to send this series back to Rogers Place tied 1-1.
Oilers vs Stars same-game parlay (SGP)
Oilers moneyline
Under 6.5
Thomas Harley Under 0.5 points
There were only 17 high-danger scoring chances and 4.64 expected goals at 5-on-5 in Game 1, and as noted, Dallas scored three power-play goals and added an empty-net tally to boost the final score.
Neither head coach will be looking for another high-scoring game, and both teams played well defensively at 5-on-5 in the series opener.
Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Stars defenseman Thomas Harley has missed the scoresheet in two of his past three games, and he’s dipped to the No. 2 power-play unit with partner Miro Heiskanen all the way back from his knee injury.
Additionally, Harley and Heiskanen played primarily against the two best Edmonton lines at 5-on-5, and Harley finished with a 42.9 CF% and 40.0 xGF%.
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Oilers vs Stars odds
Oilers vs Stars live odds
Oilers vs Stars opening odds
- Puck line: Edmonton +1.5 | Dallas -1.5
- Moneyline: Edmonton +111 | Dallas -125
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Odds courtesy of BET99
Oilers vs Stars trend
The Oilers have hit the Under in 32 of their last 55 away games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Stars.
How to watch Oilers vs Stars
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Friday, 5-23-2025 |
| Puck drop | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN, SN |
Oilers vs Stars latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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