The Washington Football Team, coming off one of the most improbable wins of the 2020 NFL betting season, takes on a San Francisco squad hoping to put forth a better effort in its second straight home-away-from-home game.
NFL odds saw the 49ers open as four-point favorites, but that line has ticked down to a three-point spread, while the total has hung tight at 43.5.
Here are our best free picks and predictions for Washington vs. San Francisco on Sunday, December 13, with kickoff set for 4:25 p.m. ET.
Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
Weather
This game will likely be played with the roof closed at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other Week 14 games with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Washington: Antonio Gibson RB (Out).
49ers: Tom Compton G (Out), D.J. Jones DT (Out), Emmanuel Moseley CB (Out), K'Waun Williams CB (Out), George Kittle TE (Out), Jimmy Garoppolo QB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams. Find more NFL betting trends for Washington vs. 49ers.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Washington Football Team trailed 14-0 on the road against the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers last week, had lost RB Antonio Gibson in the first quarter due to injury, and saw star WR Terry McLaurin face an endless barrage of double teams. So, it obviously makes sense that Washington outscored Pittsburgh 20-3 in the second half, pulling off a massive 23-17 upset victory last Monday.
Gibson had two carries for 14 yards prior to leaving, and WFT ran for a whopping 45 yards all game, while McLaurin had two catches for 14 yards in a full 60-minute effort. Yet the Football Team pulled out the victory due to dominant defense, turnover-free football from QB Alex Smith, and taking what Pittsburgh gave them: the Steelers focused on stopping McLaurin, so Smith completed 9/9 passes to TE Logan Thomas, 10/10 passes to RB J.D. McKissic and connected with WR Cam Sims five times for 92 yards.
The Niners had to play last week's home game in Arizona due to California COVID-19 restrictions. They also played last Monday and were shredded by Buffalo for 449 yards in a 34-24 loss. It's the third time in the last five games where San Francisco has given up at least 34 points, yielding an average of 30.4 points over that span (1-4 SU and ATS).
San Fran's 24 points were its highest output in a month but Buffalo's defense isn't anything special and this week it faces a WFT stop unit that allows the eighth-fewest points per game, fourth-fewest yards per game, and is No. 4 in defensive DVOA, per Football Outsiders.
Gibson is iffy to play on Sunday, but Washington just showed that they are capable of scoring on a high-level defense without him. Going against a more-porous Niners defense, with their own defense that should harass a struggling offense, I'll take the surging Football Team with the points.
PREDICTION: Washington +3 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
With Gibson unlikely to play, Washington loses its best home-run hitter. That means the offense will likely be driven again from a lot of check-downs from Smith and short, high-percentage throws, which work as a de facto running game to chew up the clock. San Francisco, on the other hand, is averaging just 20.8 ppg over its last five games and faces one of the league's best – and hottest – stop units.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five matchups between these teams, and I think it will be another low-scoring affair on Sunday.
PREDICTION: Under 43.5 (-110)
First Half Total Pick
Both Washington and San Francisco are among the league's lowest-scoring first-half teams, with the two clubs combining for 20 first-half points per game this season—but just 17 ppg over their last three games.
The first-half total for this game is sitting at 21.5 points, and with Gibson likely to be out, I really have a hard time seeing these teams top that threshold.
PREDICTION: First half Under 21.5 (-114)
Washington vs 49ers Betting Card
- Washington +3 (-110)
- Under 43.5 (-110)
- First half Under 21.5 (-114)
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