NFL Draft Odds 2023: Quarterbacks Back on Top

NFL Draft odds are already on the board for the 2023 draft and after a down year, quarterbacks are once again littered across the board. Check out how CJ Stroud, Bryce Young, and all of the best prospects stack up in our odds to go first overall.

Last Updated: May 4, 2022 1:55 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
CJ Stroud Ohio State Buckeyes college football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 2022 NFL Draft is in the books, with wide receivers and the Georgia Bulldogs taking center stage. 

The theme of the 2022 draft was a departure from recent drafts, in which quarterbacks have been picked early and often. In that regard, an early look at 2023 NFL Draft odds suggests a return to the norm, with a pair of passers topping the board early in the process.

Here's a look at the 2023 odds to go first overall, just under a year out from the draft. 

2023 NFL Draft odds: Odds to go first overall

Player Position Odds to go No. 1 overall
CJ Stroud QB +200
Bryce Young QB +225
Will Anderson LB +330
Paris Johnson OT +1,000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR +1,500
Phil Jurkovec QB +1,500
Tyler Van Dyke QB +1,800
Spencer Rattler QB +2,000
Peter Skoronski OT +2,500
Bryan Bresee DT +2,500
Eli Ricks CB +3,000
Jalen Carter DT +3,500
Will Levis QB +3,500
Nolan Smith LB +4,000
Justin Flowe LB +4,000
Jaren Hall QB +4,000
Malik Cunningham QB +4,000
Hendon Hooker QB +4,000
Trenton Simpson LB +4,000
Kayshoun Boutte WR +5,000
Josh Downs WR +5,000
BJ Ojulari DE +5,000
Myles Murphy DE +5,000
Kedon Slovis QB +5,000
Brennan Armstrong QB +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of May 4, 2022.

Favorite to go first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft

CJ Stroud (+200)

Alabama passer Bryce Young edged out Ohio State QB CJ Stroud for the Heisman in 2021 but early odds say roles will be reversed at the top of the 2023 NFL Draft. In his first season as the Buckeyes' starter, Stroud was excellent, throwing for 4,435 yards and 44 touchdowns to just six interceptions. While not as mobile as his Bama counterpart, Stroud should be among the first names called next spring. 

Bryce Young (+225)

The reigning Heisman Trophy winner was unable to take his Crimson Tide to a natty but he'll get another crack as a junior, with Bama atop the CFP National Championship odds board. Young was superb in his first full season as the Tide's starter, finishing with 4,872 passing yards and a 47:7 touchdown-to-interception ratio en route to the Heisman. 

Will Anderson (+330)

Under Nick Saban, Alabama has produced an endless line of solid-to-great pros on the defensive side of the ball. EDGE Will Anderson has a chance to be among the absolute best after two phenomenal seasons to begin his collegiate career. Anderson picked up seven sacks and 10.5 tackles for loss as a freshman then followed it up with 17.5 sacks and 31 TFLs as a sophomore.

The presence of high-level quarterbacks could crowd Anderson out of the first overall pick conversation but make no mistake, the Bama stud is the best defensive player in the 2023 draft. 

NFL Draft betting trends

• Quarterback is the most important position on the football field and while most first overall selections have played QB, quarterback hunters have been in high demand as well. With Walker's selection yesterday, four of the last 16 No. 1-overall picks were pass rushers.

• All but two of the last 15 NFL Drafts have seen an offensive lineman get picked in the Top 10, with 2022 being no different as Ikem Ekwonu, Evan Neal, and Charles Cross went sixth, seventh, and ninth.

List of first overall NFL Draft picks

Year Player Position
2022 Travon Walker DE
2021  Trevor Lawrence QB
2020 Joe Burrow QB
2019 Kyler Murray QB
2018 Baker Mayfield QB
2017 Myles Garrett DE
2016 Jared Goff QB
2015 Jameis Winston QB
2014 Jadeveon Clowney DE
2013 Eric Fisher OT
2012 Andrew Luck QB
2011 Cam Newton QB
2010 Sam Bradford QB
2009 Matthew Stafford QB
2008 Jake Long OT
2007 JaMarcus Russell QB
2006 Mario Williams DE

How to bet on the 2023 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks will post odds for the player to go first overall in the draft as soon the previous year's draft is over. Once the college football season begins in September, these odds could change weekly depending on how players are performing as well as the evaluations of trusted draftniks such as Mel Kiper Jr.

In addition, this NFL futures bet may also take into account the team needs of the worst team(s) in the NFL.

After the NCAA football season is over, NFL Draft odds will solidify after key events such as the underclassmen declaration deadline, the NFL Scouting Combine and pro days. In the weeks leading up to the draft, sportsbooks will offer more NFL Draft prop bets. 

Understanding NFL Draft odds

The odds to go first overall in the NFL Draft will typically look like this:

  • Kenny Pickett +135

This means that if you placed a $100 bet on Pickett, you would win $135 if the Pitt QB goes first overall in 2022. When you get closer to the draft and there is a general consensus on who will go first overall, you might see a player with a minus sign (-) ahead of his odds, like this:

  • Travon Walker -450

This means that you'd have to bet $450 to win $100 on Walker being drafted first overall.

Above we have posted the American odds for the 2022 NFL Draft. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

Get more NFL Draft betting tips and strategies with our draft betting guide.

NFL Draft FAQs

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