The Texas A&M Aggies are putting their undefeated record on the line in a tough road environment on Saturday night in Death Valley against the 20th ranked LSU Tigers.
These two teams typically play each other with a lot of points on the scoreboard and that leads to some great player props to choose from.
Here are my favorite top three player prop bets for this game in my free Texas A&M vs. LSU predictions & college football picks for Saturday, October 25.
Texas A&M vs LSU props for Week 9
Prop bet #1: Caden Durham Over 50.5 rushing yards
This is one of those props where I went to go look to take an LSU running back Under and then I saw the line and had no choice but to flip it completely and not just avoid the play, but actually take the Over. This line is just way too low.
Caden Durham has run for at least 51 yards in four of his six games this season and eight of 12 last season. The lone two where he failed to hit the number were against bad teams where he saw very little work because of a blowout. He hit this number in both of their losses this season.
The Texas A&M Aggies defense is solid against the run overall but has allowed the main running back to clear this number in almost every game this season. Only Auburn failed to have a running back get at least 50 yards and that running back had only six carries.
Last week, Durham had only seven carries but still ran for 59 yards. He had at least 15 carries in the other three games against good opponents. LSU will not abandon the run regardless of score and Durham will get enough carries to hit this low total.
Prop bet #2: Mario Craver Under 4.5 receptions
Mario Craver is the leading receiver for the Aggies and has had some big games this season. However, this reception line is a bit too high for the matchup. The LSU defense has been great against the pass and has forced opponents to spread the ball around to get anything going.
Only Florida was able to get two players to have more than four receptions in a game against LSU this season and only Vanderbilt last week had one player do such in a game. Every other opponent had their leading receiver have four or less catches against LSU.
While Craver had some big games in terms of catches this season, they were mostly early in the year. He has been held to four or less catches in three of the past four games including a shootout last week against Arkansas.
Prop bet #3: Barion Brown Under 5.5 receptions
This is another line that is just set too high, much like the previous one. Barion Brown is a guy that makes a lot of short catches to try and get him out in space so he can use his speed. But six catches is asking a lot from the LSU gameplan for him.
Brown has only received at least six catches in one game this season and that was a blowout win over Louisiana Tech. In every other game, he has either two catches or five catches. Brown is primarily a kick returner and speed receiver that does not play every snap.
Even going back to his three years at Kentucky, Brown only had six or more catches in three of his 37 career games there. He is not a big volume guy, but instead a home run hitter and this line is set like he is a big volume receiver.
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