Oregon vs Arizona State Picks and Predictions: Ducks Drive Scoring Against Devils

The Sun Devils have picked things up a bit, but are they playing on the Ducks' level right now? Our Oregon vs. Arizona State picks don't think so, but bettors should count on scoring either way.

Feb 17, 2022 • 08:19 ET • 4 min read
Will Richardson Oregon Ducks college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Oregon Ducks have won five of their last six games and will now try to pick up a win over an Arizona Sun Devils squad that has been a lot better as of late. Arizona State is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games, and the team is showing a lot more fight than it did earlier in the year. 

Will the Sun Devils find a way to upset the Ducks in Tempe? Keep reading our Oregon vs. Arizona State college basketball picks and predictions for Thursday, February 17 to find out. 

Oregon vs Arizona State odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Sun Devils were 3.5-point home underdogs at open and are now getting as many as 5 points in this meeting with the Ducks. The total, which opened at 134, is all the way up at 136.5 on some books. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Oregon vs Arizona State predictions

Predictions made on 2/17/2022 at 1:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Oregon vs Arizona State game info

Location: Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ
Date: Thursday, February 17, 2022
Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Oregon at Arizona State betting preview

Injuries

Oregon: No injuries to report.
Arizona State: Marcus Bagley F (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Oregon is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 road games against teams with losing home records. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon vs. Arizona State.

Oregon vs Arizona State picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Sun Devils have been a little better over the last couple of weeks, but it’s still impossible to trust this team right now. Arizona State is just miserable on the offensive end of the floor, making it hard to believe that the group will come up with buckets when it needs to. The Sun Devils are 247th in college basketball in adjusted offensive efficiency (all efficiency stats from KenPom.com), which is absolutely dreadful. Arizona State’s lack of perimeter shooting has a lot to do with that. 

Not a single player in the Sun Devils rotation shoots better than 40.0% from deep, and Arizona State also doesn’t have a go-to scoring option. Jalen Graham has been the closest thing to that for this team lately, as he has had at least 14 points in seven of his last 10 games. But Graham has no perimeter game and relies on funky shots in the paint to do his work. And to say the Sun Devils have an erratic backcourt would be an understatement. 

While Arizona State doesn’t have a trustworthy group of guards, Oregon’s backcourt is the team’s strength. Will Richardson, Jacob Young and De’Vion Harmon are all capable of going off for the Ducks in this game, with the first name on that list being the most likely. Richardson is a 43.1% shooter from the outside and has the experience needed to go on the road and silence the home team. Look for him to come up big for Oregon. Richardson was just 1 for 9 from deep in a home loss to the Sun Devils earlier in the year, but he’s not likely to repeat that performance here. 

In fact, you shouldn’t count on Oregon to be anywhere near as bad as the team was in that early-season loss to Arizona State. The Ducks might not be a special offensive team, but they are a heck of a lot better from behind the 3-point line than they were in a 4-for-22 shooting game. Oregon is also 29-16 against the spread when avenging a straight-up loss to an opponent under head coach Dana Altman. 

Prediction: Oregon -4 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between Oregon and Arizona State, and there’s no reason to believe that this one won’t follow the same path. The Over has now hit in three of the last four Sun Deilvs games, with the team giving up at least 84 points in each of those three games that went Over. When this team is struggling on the defensive end, the number of good looks that opponents get is limitless. And Altman is one of the best offensive coaches in the entire nation, so he’ll have his team ready to attack this mediocre defense tonight. 

The Sun Devils have also played rather well on the offensive end lately, and that’s especially true when comparing their performance to the way the team played early in the season. Arizona State scored 87 in a home win over the UCLA Bruins on February 5, and the team followed it up with a 79-point performance in a road loss to the Arizona Wildcats. Obviously, it’s a bit harder to trust Bobby Hurley’s team, but it’s big for those that want to bet the Over that the Sun Devils have at least shown they can score. 

Look for this game to be played at a somewhat fast pace and don’t be surprised if both teams score at least 70 points. 

Prediction: Over 135.5 (-110) 

Best bet

The fact that these teams have played such high-scoring games against one another over the years makes the Over the best bet on the board in this Pac-12 showdown. Oregon isn’t exactly a bad defensive team, but all bets are off when these teams go on the road in this conference. Arizona State’s upset win over UCLA in a shootout shows you just how unpredictable things can be. 

The Over is also 15-3 when Oregon is coming off a game in which the team gave up 60 or fewer points over the last three seasons, and it’s also 32-12 when the Ducks are coming off of a home game in that span. Meanwhile, it might be a somewhat random statistic, but the Over is 15-6 in the Sun Devils’ February games dating back to the start of the 2018-19 season. Given they’ve started to play some more high-scoring games recently, perhaps that’s a unique trend that just so happens to carry some weight. 

Pick: Over 135.5 (-110)

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