Arizona vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Yonke's prediction: Expect a low-scoring showdown in Waco.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Feb 24, 2026 • 10:52 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 8 hrs
ARIZ
50 %
BAY
50 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u154.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
Ivan Kharchenkov Arizona Wildcats NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arizona Wildcats forward Ivan Kharchenkov (8) grabs a defensive rebound

The No. 2 Arizona Wildcats make a push toward the Big 12 regular season championship as they visit the ailing Baylor Bears tonight.

Both teams are trending toward the Under, so I’m betting on a low-scoring game with my Arizona vs. Baylor predictions.

Read more in my college basketball picks for Tuesday, February 24.

Arizona vs Baylor prediction

Arizona vs Baylor best bet: Under 154.5 (-116)

Arizona is 2-8 O/U in its last 10 games, while Baylor is 2-6 O/U in its last eight. The convergence of those trends points to another lower-scoring matchup tonight.

The Wildcats will be shorthanded, likely without second-leading scorer Koa Peat (13.8 ppg) and Dwayne Aristode (+2.49 OBPR). Anthony Dell’Orso — who has been pivotal in recent wins with 44 points over his last two games, particularly in Peat’s absence — is also questionable with an ankle injury.

Meanwhile, Baylor’s offense (76th in adjusted efficiency since January 24, per BartTorvik) could struggle against Arizona’s defense, which ranks second over that span.

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Arizona vs Baylor same-game parlay

You’d normally expect Arizona’s offense to feast against a mediocre-at-best Baylor squad, but several factors suggest this isn’t a blow-up spot for the Wildcats. They’ll be shorthanded, it’s a potential letdown after a massive road win over Houston, and Baylor’s defense has shown improvement of late.

With injuries piling up around him, point guard Jaden Bradley has played 37+ minutes in each of his last three games. He’s also grabbed four or more rebounds in three of his last four outings.

Arizona vs Baylor SGP

  • Under 154.5
  • Baylor +8.5
  • Jaden Bradley Over 3.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Bears Pushed to the Arc

Arizona holds a substantial advantage down low, pushing Baylor toward more perimeter-oriented looks.

Arizona vs Baylor SGP

  • Under 154.5
  • Cameron Carr Over 1.5 threes
  • Tounde Yessoufou Over 1.5 threes
  • Jaden Bradley Over 3.5 rebounds

Arizona vs Baylor odds

  • Spread: Arizona -8 (-116) | Baylor +8 (-116)
  • Moneyline: Arizona -455 | Baylor +320
  • Over/Under: Over 154.5 (-116) | Under 154.5 (-116)

Arizona vs Baylor betting trend to know

Arizona has cashed the Under in eight of its last 10 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Arizona vs. Baylor.

How to watch Arizona vs Baylor

Location Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
Date Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Arizona vs Baylor key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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