The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies face off tonight in the 2026 NBA Summer League Championship.
My Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions pick Memphis to get the job done in a high-scoring matchup.
Find out why in my NBA Summer League picks for Sunday, July 19.
Warriors vs Grizzlies predictions for July 19
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Grizzlies -3.5
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Who will win Warriors vs Grizzlies tonight: Grizzlies -3.5 (-108 at Kalshi)
The Memphis Grizzlies came into the 2026 Summer League with sky-high expectations and arguably the deepest and most talented roster. They met those expectations, and tonight, they’ll bring home a championship.
Both teams are 4-1, but the Grizzlies have dominated opponents in a way the Golden State Warriors haven’t. Golden State is +31 through five games, and Memphis is +51. The Warriors’ only loss was a 19-point beatdown at the hands of the Grizzlies.
Four of Memphis’ five starters saw multiple starts in the NBA last season, and both Olivier-Maxence Prosper and Taylor Hendricks have played over 100 NBA games in their three-year careers.
Leading scorer Cedric Coward made the All-Rookie First Team a season ago, and No. 3 pick Cameron Boozer has impressed with averages of 18.4 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.8 steals.
Memphis has scored more points on offense and allowed fewer points on defense than Golden State in Summer League play, and the talent, experience, and cohesiveness of this team give it a clear edge.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under pick: Over 181.5 (-104 at Kalshi)
Two of the best offenses in SL clash tonight, and that should result in plenty of buckets. At 97.6 ppg, the Grizzlies rank fourth in scoring, and the Warriors rank 10th at 93.8. Both teams rank in the Top 12 in FG%, 3PT%, offensive rebounds, assists, and fewest turnovers.
Golden State has gone Over 181.5 in three of its five games, while Memphis has done so four times. When they met on July 14, the teams combined for 191 points.
Four of Memphis’ five starters are averaging 14+ points, and Golden State has a number of capable scorers and plenty of 3-point shooting to boost the final score.
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How to watch Warriors vs Grizzlies
| Location | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV |
| Date | Sunday, July 19, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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