Are the Oklahoma City Thunder hot or not? With seven straight wins, OKC has its longest win streak since winning 16 in a row during its 24-1 start to the season. However, the Thunder have failed to cover in all seven games.
That changes today. Minnesota is finishing a road trip and may be without MVP candidate Anthony Edwards, who's dealing with a bad knee. My Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks see the Thunder getting a cover as they win again.
Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction
Timberwolves vs Thunder best bet: Thunder -7.5 (-105)
The Minnesota Timberwolves snapped a three-game losing streak — both straight up and ATS — with a win at Golden State. However, they've failed to cover in the game following a victory 60% of the time this season.
Minnesota has been this large an underdog just one other time this season, and that was also against the Oklahoma City Thunder. They've covered in all three games against the Thunder this year, but the teams haven’t played in a month and a half.
Since then, Minnesota has gone 6-12 ATS. OKC had been 8-3 ATS since that game before the current, puzzling 7-game streak.
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Timberwolves vs Thunder same-game parlay
OKC plays at the No. 18 pace in the league. Minnesota is at No. 10. Lately, both teams seem to have slowed things down. OKC has gone Under five of the last six games, including two games with cutoffs below 220. Minnesota has gone Under in six of the last eight, including two with a points cutoff lower than today’s.
Ajay Mitchell faces the prospect of having to defend against a Minnesota team that's either missing Anthony Edwards or he’ll be guarding a hobbled Edwards. That should free him up to spend more energy on the other end of the floor, where he’s scored at least 15 in four of the last five.
Timberwolves vs Thunder SGP
- Thunder -7.5
- Under 226.5
- Ajay Mitchell Over 13.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Ajay Against Ayo!
Edwards is a game-time decision. If he doesn’t play, Ayo Dosunmu will likely see an increase in shots. Even if Edwards plays, Dosunmu has scored in double digits in four of the last five and remains a good pick to go Over.
OKC center Isaiah Hartenstein is day-to-day with a calf injury. That means Chet Holmgren will need to handle more of the work in the paint. He’s pulled down 58 rebounds in the last five games, so getting 9+ against a Minnesota team that ranks No. 19 in the league in offensive rebounding seems likely.
Timberwolves vs Thunder SGP
- Under 226.5
- Ajay Mitchell Over 13.5 points
- Ayo Dosunmu Over 10.5 points
- Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 rebounds
Timberwolves vs Thunder odds
- Spread: Timberwolves +8.5 | Thunder -8.5
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +275 | Thunder -320
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 | Under 225.5
Timberwolves vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Thunder have gone Under their team total in 13 of their 17 home games. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Thunder.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Thunder
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Sunday, March 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Timberwolves vs Thunder latest injuries
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