On Mother’s Day, let’s remember desperation is the mother of innovation. The Minnesota Timberwolves are desperate. They need to pull out all the stops against the San Antonio Spurs tonight.
My Spurs vs. Wolves props and NBA picks expect Minnesota’s rotation to shift in Game 4 on Sunday, May 10.
For more analysis, here are my full Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions.
Best Spurs vs Timberwolves props for Game 4
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Naz Reid |
3+ threes | +230 |
 Victor Wembanyama |
Over 12.5 rebounds | -115 |
| Jaden McDaniels |
Over 15.5 points | -112 |
Game 4 Prop #1: Naz Reid 3+ threes
Ignoring a game in which he played five minutes due to injury, Naz Reid has now played five games against the San Antonio Spurs this season. In those five games, he is 15-for-29 (51.7%) from beyond the arc, hitting at least three 3-pointers four times.
The Minnesota Timberwolves’ sixth man should see starter’s minutes tonight. He played 16 in Friday’s second half, nearly three more than Julius Randle did.
Of the Timberwolves’ three big men, Reid is the best fit to counter the Spurs. So, whether it is Rudy Gobert’s or Randle’s minutes that take a hit, expect Reid’s minutes to increase.
Not that he needs many minutes to hit a few triples.
Game 4 Prop #2: Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds
There is a want to point out that Victor Wembanyama was clearly winded late in Game 3. And Minnesota should absolutely prioritize driving into the Defensive Player of the Year’s body to both further that fatigue and to try to draw some fouls. Wembanyama had five on Friday; challenging him a bit more often could have been decisive.
But the reality is that Wembanyama has grabbed 15 rebounds in all three games of the series, in part because he played 40 minutes in Game 1 and 37 minutes in Game 3.
With an extra day between Games 4 and 5, there is no reason for San Antonio not to ride Wembanyama tonight. The Spurs know how much of a difference he makes on the court. If tonight is competitive, expect Wembanyama to play 40+ minutes.
Game 4 Prop #3: Jaden McDaniels Over 15.5 points
Make no mistake: Jaden McDaniels’s shot is hurting these days. It has been for months. But going 3-for-8 from deep in Game 3 may be an encouraging sign.
McDaniels is struggling in his usual favorite spot; Victor Wembanyama is the only player in the NBA with the length to bother McDaniels’ midrange fadeaway jumper. Despite that frustration, he has cleared this prop in two of the three games against the Spurs.
Minnesota desperately needs his offense. Only Wemby can bother it, which is obviously a huge caveat, but the majority of the time, McDaniels has an edge.
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