The Minnesota Timberwolves return home for Game 6 with a 3-2 series lead, but are coming off a Game 5 loss and still without Anthony Edwards, giving the Denver Nuggets some momentum in a must-win spot.
For full Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions, check out our game breakdown, along with updated NBA player prop projections and the latest NBA picks for this pivotal matchup on Thursday, April 30.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves computer picks for Game 6
 Nuggets |
 Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| Johnson o10.5 points -125 |
Gobert o9.5 points +102 |
| Jokic u10.5 assits -125 |
McDaniels u18.5 points -120 |
| Murray o4.5 rebounds -105 |
Dosunmu o19.5 points +100 |
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Nuggets Game 6 computer picks
Cameron Johnson Over 10.5 points
Projection: 12.84 points
Cameron Johnson’s role has been steady, and with Minnesota short on scoring without Anthony Edwards, there’s room for him to find looks and clear this number. Expect him to benefit from kick-outs and spot-up chances if Denver collapses inside.
Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 assists (-125)
Projection: 9.09 assists
Nikola Jokic is always the hub, but this matchup has forced him to score more than facilitate, especially with Minnesota focused on cutting off passing lanes. If Denver leans into his scoring again, the assist chances naturally dip.
Jamal Murray Over 4.5 rebounds (-105)
Projection: 5.22 rebounds
Jamal Murray has been active on the glass, and with the pace expected to stay controlled, those extra rebound chances should be there again. Guards tend to clean up long misses in this matchup, which works in his favor.
Timberwolves Game 6 computer picks
Rudy Gobert Over 9.5 points (+102)
Projection: 11.71 points
Rudy Gobert should stay involved around the rim, especially with Minnesota needing easy buckets and second-chance opportunities at home. His scoring doesn’t need volume — just finishes and putbacks.
Jaden McDaniels Under 18.5 points (-120)
Projection: 16.50 points
Jaden McDaniels has taken on more usage, but this number is a bit inflated for his typical scoring output in a tighter Game 6 setup. With defensive attention ramping up, clean looks won’t come as easily.
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Ayo Dosunmu Over 19.5 points (+100)
Projection: 21.02 points
Ayo Dosunmu should see plenty of opportunity with Minnesota shorthanded, and the volume alone puts him in a good spot to get past this line. If his minutes hold, the scoring chances will follow.
How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Thursday, April 30, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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