Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 , 09:29 AM ET • 4 min read

Losses always sting — especially against a division rival — as the Red Sox look to avoid setting themselves back even further in the AL East against the Orioles.

MLB

Match starts: 56 mins
BOS
47 %
BAL
53 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Baltimore -104 Baltimore -104
Read Analysis
Adley Rutschman Baltimore Orioles MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles catcher Adley Rutschman (35) rounds the bases following his two-run home run during the first inning.

The Boston Red Sox got thumped in their series opener Friday against the Orioles, stretching their losing streak to four games.

The Orioles look to make it two series wins in a row, and they’re slight home favorites for this Saturday matinee.

My Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction and free MLB picks has the home team extending the Red Sox’s misery for another game on April 25.

Who will win Red Sox vs Orioles today: Orioles moneyline (-104)

The Baltimore Orioles have ripped off wins in three of its last four, and it’s the offense that’s been pulling the strings.

In each of the O’s last three wins, they’ve scored at least seven runs, including a 10-3 pounding of the Boston Red Sox on Friday, going yard six times.

The hot bats get Boston’s struggling lefty Garrett Crochet, who has last two straight starts, giving up 16 hits, four home runs and 15 earned runs in 6+ innings of work.

Baltimore’s Trevor Rogers is struggling himself, but he did own Boston in two starts last year, surrendering just one earned run and striking out 12 in 13.1 innings of work.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Adley Rutschman has been on fire after just returning from the injured list, going 5-for-9 with three HR and eight RBI. He’s in great shape to improve his 1-for-6 line against Crochet.

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Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Over 8.0 runs (-105)

Friday’s 10-3 Baltimore win broke the streak of five straight Unders in this head-to-head.

But this trend might just continue, considering how much both pitchers have gotten touched up in recent starts.

Rogers has been tagged in two straight starts, giving up five earned runs in an 8-4 loss to the Guardians, a game after getting tagged for four runs and getting chased in 4 2/3 vs Arizona.

These were two middle-of-the-pack offenses, which is encouraging for the BoSox, one of only five MLB teams yet to crack 100 runs scored on the season.

Baltimore will do more of the heavy lifting, but the Red Sox pushing some runs in will help.

Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 2-5, -1.08 units
  • Over/Under bets: 2-4, -0.12 units

Red Sox vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Boston -100 | Baltimore -104
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+170) | Baltimore +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+117) | Under 8.5 (-122)

Red Sox vs Orioles trend

Boston has just three wins in its last 11 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Orioles.

How to watch Red Sox vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Saturday, April 25 2026
First pitch 4:05 p.m. ET
TV NESN, MASN
Red Sox starting pitcher Garrett Crochet
(2-3, 7.88 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers
(2-2, 4.06 ERA)

Red Sox vs Orioles latest injuries

Red Sox vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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