Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 , 09:29 AM ET • 4 min read

Losses always sting — especially against a division rival — as the Red Sox look to avoid setting themselves back even further in the AL East against the Orioles.

MLB

Apr 25 • 12:05 PM ET
BOS
46 %
BAL
54 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Baltimore -104 Baltimore -104
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Adley Rutschman Baltimore Orioles MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles catcher Adley Rutschman (35) rounds the bases following his two-run home run during the first inning.

The Boston Red Sox got thumped in their series opener Friday against the Orioles, stretching their losing streak to four games.

The Orioles look to make it two series wins in a row, and they’re slight home favorites for this Saturday matinee.

My Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction and free MLB picks has the home team extending the Red Sox’s misery for another game on April 25.

Who will win Red Sox vs Orioles today: Orioles moneyline (-104)

The Baltimore Orioles have ripped off wins in three of its last four, and it’s the offense that’s been pulling the strings.

In each of the O’s last three wins, they’ve scored at least seven runs, including a 10-3 pounding of the Boston Red Sox on Friday, going yard six times.

The hot bats get Boston’s struggling lefty Garrett Crochet, who has last two straight starts, giving up 16 hits, four home runs and 15 earned runs in 6+ innings of work.

Baltimore’s Trevor Rogers is struggling himself, but he did own Boston in two starts last year, surrendering just one earned run and striking out 12 in 13.1 innings of work.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Adley Rutschman has been on fire after just returning from the injured list, going 5-for-9 with three HR and eight RBI. He’s in great shape to improve his 1-for-6 line against Crochet.

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Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Over 8.0 runs (-105)

Friday’s 10-3 Baltimore win broke the streak of five straight Unders in this head-to-head.

But this trend might just continue, considering how much both pitchers have gotten touched up in recent starts.

Rogers has been tagged in two straight starts, giving up five earned runs in an 8-4 loss to the Guardians, a game after getting tagged for four runs and getting chased in 4 2/3 vs Arizona.

These were two middle-of-the-pack offenses, which is encouraging for the BoSox, one of only five MLB teams yet to crack 100 runs scored on the season.

Baltimore will do more of the heavy lifting, but the Red Sox pushing some runs in will help.

Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 2-5, -1.08 units
  • Over/Under bets: 2-4, -0.12 units

Red Sox vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Boston -100 | Baltimore -104
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+170) | Baltimore +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+117) | Under 8.5 (-122)

Red Sox vs Orioles trend

Boston has just three wins in its last 11 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Orioles.

How to watch Red Sox vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Saturday, April 25 2026
First pitch 4:05 p.m. ET
TV NESN, MASN
Red Sox starting pitcher Garrett Crochet
(2-3, 7.88 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers
(2-2, 4.06 ERA)

Red Sox vs Orioles latest injuries

Red Sox vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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