This afternoon is loaded with ball games, and my top MLB player props have you covered for the action Thursday, April 30.
My two favorite MLB picks feature Houston Astros star Yordan Alvarez, and Philadelphia Phillies favorite Bryce Harper in favorable pitching matchups today.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Yordan Alvarez |
Over 1.5 total bases | -102 |
 Bryce Harper |
Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI | -105 |
 Andrew Abbott |
Over 4.5 strikeouts | -145 |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 total bases (-102)
It’s been a rough start for Baltimore Orioles righty Chris Bassitt, with his 6.75 ERA reinforced by a 6.25 xFIP, a monster .472 wOBA, and .246 ISO to left-handed hitters. Houston Astros star Yordan Alvarez has posted .463 wOBA and .338 ISO against right-handed arms this season, and he’s teed off on Bassitt for five home runs across 25 at-bats with a monster 1.598 OPS.
- Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MASN, SCHN
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-105)
Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper is heating up to go Over the number in this market in five of his past seven games with six runs, seven hits, and eight RBI, and he’s put up a rock-solid .407 wOBA against righties for the year.
This is also a soft pitching matchup with San Francisco Giants righty Logan Webb searching for answers on the mound. He’s surrendered a beefy 49.1% hard-hit rate, and left-handed hitters have squared off for a .372 wOBA. Harper has also launched a pair of home runs against Webb while going 4-for-8 at the dish.
- Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSP, NBCSBA
Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 strikeouts (-145)
With the Colorado Rockies sporting a 22nd-ranked wOBA and striking out at the second-highest clip against lefties, this is a solid bounce-back opportunity for Cincinnati Reds southpaw Andrew Abbott.
There’s no sugarcoating Abbott's poor start, but he’s set to improve on his unsustainable .351 BABIP and 63.9% strand rate, and his 8.3 K/9 and 22.2 K% across his first 75 career starts are well above his respective 5.97 and 14.3% marks to start 2026. Simply put, the Reds' lefty has sunnier days ahead.
- Time: 12:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CINR, COLR
- Prop picks: 7-3, +3.65 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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