The Chicago White Sox host the Los Angeles Angles at Guaranteed Rate Field on Tuesday night. This is the second contest in a three-game set, with the Angels taking the series opener last night.
MLB betting odds for today opened with the White Sox as -135 home favorites before growing to -145, with the Over/Under at 9. Here are my best free Angels vs. White Sox MLB picks and predictions for May 30.
Angels vs White Sox odds
Angels vs White Sox predictions
Sure, the Angels seem like they're wasting the best years of Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, but they're still above .500 this season, while the White Sox are 22-34 despite playing in the worst division in baseball.
Chicago has been awful at the plate, ranking just 27th in the majors in OPS (.682), while the Angels are ninth with an OPS of .750. Anthony Rendon is sidelined by a groin injury but hasn't been driving the ball anyway, while Ohtani, Trout, Hunter Renfroe, and Brandon Drury have combined for 43 dingers.
Both sides have shaky starters on the hill today, but the White Sox have the far more vulnerable bullpen. Chicago's relievers are second-last in the majors in ERA (5.13) and WHIP (1.48), while the Halos are seventh in ERA (3.59) and eighth in WHIP (1.24).
The starting pitching in this matchup looks like a wash, but with the Halos having the clear advantage at the dish and in the bullpen, backing them as underdogs seems like the play.
My best bet: Angels moneyline (+125 at bet365)
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Angels vs White Sox moneyline analysis
The Angels edged the White Sox 6-4 as +125 underdogs last night, but are currently installed at an identical +125 price today. That victory improved L.A.'s record to 29-26, while dropping Chicago to 22-34 — the second-worst mark in the underwhelming AL Central.
The Halos are sending Tyler Anderson to the mound today, while the White Sox are responding with Lucas Giolito. Anderson has regressed massively after a breakout 2022 campaign but has a solid 3.14 ERA over his last five starts.
Giolito put together a really nice stretch with Chicago from 2019 to 2021, but he struggled last season and has been inconsistent this year. The veteran right-hander has a 4.20 FIP through 11 starts and is fresh off an outing against the Tigers where he was given the hook midway through the fourth inning after surrendering four runs.
The White Sox have been pathetic at the plate, but they have been hitting much better against lefties like Anderson, boasting an OPS of .738.
The Angels have been more consistent at the dish with 2021 AL MVP Ohtani (12 home runs) and three-time AL MVP Trout (slashing .283/.373/.520) anchoring their lineup.
Angels vs White Sox Over/Under analysis
The Angels are ninth in the majors with 4.82 runs per game. They also rank third in average exit velocity, ninth in hard-hit rate, and 12th in barrel rate, indicating that their production is sustainable long term.
Meanwhile, the White Sox are a Bottom-10 team in all three of those metrics, so don't expect their batting numbers to improve much over the next few months.
That said, Chicago does hit pretty well against southpaws, and both starters have been vulnerable this year.
Anderson has a three-pitch arsenal featuring a fastball, changeup, and cutter. His four-seamer has decent movement but averages just 89.5 mph on the radar gun, and opponents have a slugging percentage of .629 against it this season.
Giolito relies primarily on his fastball but has seen his velocity and spin rate tick down on that pitch this year. That's a big reason why his strikeout rate has dropped from above 32% in 2019 and 2020 to just 23.9% this season.
Angels vs White Sox game info
|Location:||Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL|
|Date:||Tuesday, May 30, 2023|
|First pitch:||8:10 p.m. ET|
|TV:||Bally Sports West, NBCS-Chicago|
Tyler Anderson (2-0, 4.81 ERA): Anderson put together easily his best season last year with the Dodgers, pitching to a 2.57 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in 178 2/3 innings. He has fallen back to earth with a 4.99 expected ERA and a WHIP of 1.56 through nine starts this year. Anderson does rank in the Top 20th percentile in hard-hit rate and average exit velocity, but that's what happens when you don't throw with any heat either. He's coming off a strong performance against the Red Sox where he pitched six innings of one-run ball.
Lucas Giolito (3-4, 3.98 ERA): Giolito had an impressive 3.54 FIP with a 1.08 WHIP in 72 starts from 2019 to 2021. Those numbers surged to 4.06 and 1.44 last year, and his FIP sits at an even higher 4.20 this season. Giolito has six quality starts this season but has struggled mightily in four other starts. He is coming off a meltdown against the Tigers where he walked seven batters in less than four innings of work.
Trend to know
White Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. White Sox.