Only 6 of Over 18K Circa Survivor Entries Reach Week 18

The implied value per entry is over $3 million heading into a challenging final week.

Brad Senkiw - Contributor at Covers.com
Brad Senkiw • News Editor
Dec 29, 2025 • 12:55 ET • 4 min read
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Six Circa Sports Survivor contestants survived the two-period Week 17 and head into the final week of the regular season with a chance to win an $18.17-million prize pool. 

Key Takeaways

  • The implied value per entry is over $3 million heading into a challenging final week.

  • The Buccaneers were the lone costly team in the second portion of Week 17.

  • Remaining entries rode the Patriots, Bengals, and Giants.

The contest, with a $1,000 entry fee, has been whittled down from a record 18,176 entries in Week 1. Contestants pick one team in the NFL to win each week, and if they survive, they can no longer select that team throughout the remainder of the contest. 

The implied value of the remaining six entries is over $3.1 million, which is what each contestant will get if they all tie in Week 18, unless there’s a chopped-pot agreement already in place. If there are eliminations, the remaining entries will share the prize pool. 

Competing for the largest prize pool since Circa Survivor began in 2020, remaining participants will have some tough decisions to make. With some teams having locked up playoff spots or seeding, and others playing for nothing, some starters are expected to miss games, making Week 18 one of the hardest to predict. 

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Staying alive

The Buccaneers were the only costly team Sunday, as their 20-17 upset loss to the Dolphins knocked out three entries. Those participants were riding a Tampa Bay team that desperately needed a win in its battle with the Carolina Panthers for the NFC South.

One of the top teams in the league this year was still available for three contestants, who enjoyed the Patriots sailing past the Jets 42-10 to easily send them into final week. Two more entries survived on the Bengals’ 34-17 win over the Cardinals. 

One entry had the Giants, a two-win team coming into Week 17, but the 3-point favorites over the Raiders gave the contestant a no-sweat 34-10 victory in a late Sunday afternoon game. 

Christmas miracle

Ten entries made it out of Week 16 and into the 17a portion of the contest, which consisted of the three Christmas Day games. Just one participant was eliminated last Thursday when the Commanders lost to the Cowboys. 

However, the contestant hedged that pick with a $1.18-million wager on the Cowboys moneyline, according to Circa Sports CEO and owner Derek Stevens. Dallas won 30-23, cashing that big bet but ending the participant’s chance at the massive prize pool.

Five entries were sweating out the Cowboys, while four picks were in on the Vikings despite them being touchdown underdogs at home against the Lions. With Detroit needing a win to stay in playoff contention, Minnesota pulled off the 23-10 upset behind a string of Lions turnovers.  

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Brad Senkiw - Covers
News Editor

Brad has been covering sports betting and iGaming industry news for Covers since 2023. He writes about a wide range of topics, including sportsbook insights, proposed legislation, regulator decision-making, state revenue reports, and online sports betting launches. Brad reported heavily on North Carolina’s legal push for and creation of online sportsbooks, appearing on numerous Tar Heel State radio and TV news shows for his insights.

Before joining Covers, Brad spent over 15 years as a reporter and editor, covering college sports for newspapers and websites while also hosting a radio show for seven years.

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