A topsy-turvy opening weekend of Premier League action was closed out by Chelsea surging in title odds after a Monday night victory.
Key Takeaways
- Chelsea's implied probability of winning the Premier League increased by 5.6%.
- Manchester City crashed from +280 to +410 title odds following Chelsea’s win over Fulham.
- Arsenal are still the clear-cut favorites at -135 (57.5% implied chance).
| Club | Current Title Odds | Monday Morning | Entering Weekend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | -135 | -130 | +105 |
| Man City | +410 | +280 | +290 |
| Chelsea | +500 | +750 | +800 |
| Liverpool | +1,000 | +800 | +600 |
| Manchester United | +1,600 | +1,800 | +800 |
| Tottenham | +4,500 | +5,500 | +2,200 |
| Aston Villa | +10,000 | +5,500 | +3,500 |
Chelsea were +800 in FanDuel's Premier League title market entering the weekend, tied for fourth among all teams. They shortened to +750 before their Monday kick-off thanks to favorable results and underwhelming displays by Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United, Tottenham, and Aston Villa. Defending champions Arsenal lived up to their title-favorites status.
In Xabi Alonso’s debut in the dugout, Chelsea beat Fulham in a London Derby at Craven Cottage, 3-2. The Blues’ attacking trio of Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro, and British record signing Morgan Rogers were all on the scoresheet, while new arrival Maxence Lacroix registered an assist.
Fulham gave the visitors a true 90-minute fight, but the win resulted in Chelsea shooting up the oddsboard to third at +500. That carries a 16.7% implied probability of winning the league, a 5.6% improvement from their +800 mark entering the weekend.
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Man City lengthens after opening week
While the win boosted Chelsea’s title outlook, it dealt a noticeable blow to Man City's. Last season's runners-up fell back to +410 (19.6%) after reaching +280 (26.3%) following their last-gasp victory against Bournemouth.
Liverpool met a similar fate, falling from +800 (11.1%) on Monday morning to +1,000 (9.1%).
Manchester United and Tottenham, however, both saw their odds improve Tuesday despite disappointing opening-week results. That is reflective of the strong reactions that faced both clubs immediately after heavy defeats to Hull City and Brentford, respectively.
Manchester United shortened from +1,800 Monday morning to +1,600 Tuesday, though they remain well behind their +800 price entering the weekend. Tottenham similarly improved from +5,500 to +4,500 after opening at +2,200 last Friday.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, continued their slide. A 4-0 loss to Brighton sent them from +3,500 entering the weekend to +5,500 after the match and +10,000 by Monday. Brighton passed them in the table and are now seventh in Premier League title odds at +8,000.
