After some impressive showings at the Masters, LIV Golf is back to its regularly-scheduled programming and heads to Royal Melbourne Golf Club this week for LIV Golf Adelaide.
Those aforementioned Augusta performances have resulted in a much different odds board, with Brooks Koepka, Patrick Reed, and Phil Mickelson all seeing much shorter odds than usual after their Top-5 showings at the first major championship.
We break it all down in our full LIV Golf Adelaide betting preview below, including outright odds, free golf betting picks, and more.
If you're looking to bet on some golf action, here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users can bet $5 and get up to $150 in bonus bets at FanDuel! Sign Up Now
B) New users can bet $5 and get up to $200 in bonus bets at DraftKings! Sign Up Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
LIV Golf Adelaide picks and predictions
Sergio Garcia Top Spaniard (-105 at bet365)
I tend not to look to nationality groups for plays, as LIV Golf results can be particularly erratic and volatile, but this Top Spaniard three-ball is one I feel pretty good about.
Sergio’s number has drifted almost all the way back to even money as he comes off a 45th-place finish in Orlando and a missed cut at the Masters. However, I’m not super bullish on his competition’s ability to take advantage.
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra (+180) did win in Bangkok as a massive +15,000 longshot back in October but that’s actually his only Top-20 finish in nine LIV starts (27.25 average finish in the eight others). David Puig has the longest odds in this group at +333 but for good reason. He’s yet to record a Top 20 in six tries and has an even worse average finish of 33.16.
Sergio has a 7-2 head-to-head record against Chacarra and is 5-1 against Puig. I have little doubt he’ll be able to add to those marks this week and the -105 price might even be selling the 2017 Masters champ short considering he may only need a Top-20 finish (-143) to get the job done.
Patrick Reed Top 10 (+160 at bet365)
As hard it may be to root for Patrick Reed, his play both in Orlando (solo-fourth) and at the Masters (T4) should instill some confidence in him moving forward.
And while Brooks Koepka and Phil Mickelson also played incredibly well at Augusta, I have more faith in P-Reed to carry that over. Few golfers get up for the majors as well as Brooks, and Phil hasn’t been able to string together good performances at all over the last two years.
Reed has four Top 10s and six finishes of T12 or better in nine LIV starts and also finished second behind Rory at the Dubai Desert Classic in January. There’s good play in there and he flashed some vintage stuff at the Masters, going +3.32 shots with his putter, +4.00 shots around the green, and +3.36 strokes on approach.
I like him a lot this week and this is a great spot to back him in.
Odds to win LIV Golf Adelaide
| Golfer | Odds to win LIV Golf Adelaide |
|---|---|
| Brooks Koepka | +1,000 |
| Cam Smith | +1,000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +1,200 |
| Dustin Johnson | +1,400 |
| Patrick Reed | +1,600 |
| Mito Pereira | +1,600 |
| Charles Howell III | +1,800 |
| Abraham Ancer | +2,000 |
| Matthew Wolff | +2,000 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +2,000 |
| Peter Uihlein | +2,200 |
| Paul Casey | +2,200 |
| Talor Gooch | +2,200 |
| Brendan Steele | +2,800 |
| Marc Leishman | +2,800 |
| Anirban Lahiri | +2,800 |
| Harold Varner III | +3,000 |
| Branden Grace | +3,000 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +3,000 |
| Sergio Garcia | +3,000 |
Odds courtesy of bet365 as of April 18, 2023.
LIV Golf Adelaide field and favorites
After too many events in the 40/1 odds range, Brooks Koepka (+1,000) has finally broken into the top tier of betting favorites for Adelaide.
The four-time major winner became the first two-time LIV champion with his win in Orlando earlier this month and followed that up with a runner-up finish at the Masters, where he held a two-shot lead through 54 holes.
Also on the board at 10/1 is Cameron Smith, who'll be a crowd favorite at Royal Melbourne this week. The Australian native finished sixth at Mayakoba in February but just 26th in Tucson, 29th in Orlando, and T34 at the Masters since then.
Rounding out the Top 5 is Joaquin Niemann at +1,200, Dustin Johnson at +1,400, and Patrick Reed at 16/1. Of the three, Reed is entering the week in the best form after finishing solo-fourth in Orlando and T4 at Augusta National — these are the shortest odds he's seen this season. Phil Mickelson's odds are also being bumped (+5,500) after finishing T2 at the Masters.
And aside from Cam Smith, there are a couple more notable Aussies in the field: Marc Leishman at 28/1 and Matt Jones at 60/1.
LIV Golf recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:
| Event | Golfer | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando (April 2023) | Brooks Koepka (2) | +4,000 |
| Tucson (March 2023) | Danny Lee | +8,000 |
| Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) | Charles Howell III | +4,000 |
| Jeddah (Oct. 2022) | Brooks Koepka | +2,500 |
| Bangkok (Oct. 2022) | Eugenio Chacarra | +15,000 |
| Chicago (Sept. 2022) | Cameron Smith | +600 |
| Boston (Sept. 2022) | Dustin Johnson | +600 |
| Bedminster (July 2022) | Henrik Stenson | +6,000 |
| Portland (July 2022) | Branden Grace | +3,500 |
| London (June 2022) | Charl Schwartzel | +3,000 |
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
