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    All Forums | Tennis

    Andy Murray +125 v Rafael Nadal

    Mack05
    BurningPlanet26
    slamspurs
    sparty444
    CheezeStack
    ...
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    Posts: 17
     
    Mack05
    Mack05
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 8:48 AM ET #1

    Hmmmm Yes Please!

    This is as 50/50 a match as you can get. Have to play with the value here. Murray looks like he is coming right into form on his favourite surface. Add to the fact that he needs to make the final to keep his top 4 ranking and he wants revenge for the Wimbledon final makes the +125 cracking value on Murray's favourite surface..Think Murray wants it more and that will show in the match..He doesn't fear Nadal on this surface..Take the value

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Hmmmm Yes Please!

    This is as 50/50 a match as you can get. Have to play with the value here. Murray looks like he is coming right into form on his favourite surface. Add to the fact that he needs to make the final to keep his top 4 ranking and he wants revenge for the Wimbledon final makes the +125 cracking value on Murray's favourite surface..Think Murray wants it more and that will show in the match..He doesn't fear Nadal on this surface..Take the value

     
    BurningPlanet26
    BurningPlanet26
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 9:15 AM ET #2

    I think you have this and am on the same side. Feel free to get cocky after your win.

    It is nice to see that you do not just watch slams. Did you see Murray and Nadal play at the AO? I did and that influences my decision. I had money on Nadal and was very lucky and pleased when he retired because he was not coming back.

    But you know what? He was amazing out and playing very well. But Murray had the answers. Murray's superior serve and returning were the difference and I think they will be today. He was aggressive then just like yesterday vs Nalbandian, a brand of tennis he plays rarely.

    It depends on his gameplan for today. If he plays aggressive then we got the steal of the century given the form shown this tournament from each. If he plays like a box then we got no value whatsoever. His historic success at this tournament and in general on the American hardcourt swing bolster my confidence.

    I put a unit on him and Pova today at like +190. Got a live one of him and Pova from last night 1.9 to win 4.0  (she massacred Bartoli; juice has been sweet and not bitter this week if you picked your spots)

    Hey Mack I made profit on 11 of last 13 days! I do way better capping hardcourts but I got lucky a lot too. I just need Pova to win today, and Murray I am pretty strong on too. Love seeing you on him since I know Rafa made you a ton of money in Wimbledon and you have a great record. Time to make some .
    Reply
    I think you have this and am on the same side. Feel free to get cocky after your win.

    It is nice to see that you do not just watch slams. Did you see Murray and Nadal play at the AO? I did and that influences my decision. I had money on Nadal and was very lucky and pleased when he retired because he was not coming back.

    But you know what? He was amazing out and playing very well. But Murray had the answers. Murray's superior serve and returning were the difference and I think they will be today. He was aggressive then just like yesterday vs Nalbandian, a brand of tennis he plays rarely.

    It depends on his gameplan for today. If he plays aggressive then we got the steal of the century given the form shown this tournament from each. If he plays like a box then we got no value whatsoever. His historic success at this tournament and in general on the American hardcourt swing bolster my confidence.

    I put a unit on him and Pova today at like +190. Got a live one of him and Pova from last night 1.9 to win 4.0  (she massacred Bartoli; juice has been sweet and not bitter this week if you picked your spots)

    Hey Mack I made profit on 11 of last 13 days! I do way better capping hardcourts but I got lucky a lot too. I just need Pova to win today, and Murray I am pretty strong on too. Love seeing you on him since I know Rafa made you a ton of money in Wimbledon and you have a great record. Time to make some .
     
    slamspurs
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 10:56 AM ET #3

    Good to see you both on Murray today. When you said value, it kind of scared me, because i usually fade value in tennis.

    I wouldn't say that "there is good value in Murray." I would say "Murray is a good bet".

    Value is taking Berdych last night at +200 in a 50/50 match. I think the line is just about right considering Nadal is the next big thing in tennis, and that he is currently ranked #1 in the world.

    I'll probably throw a little doh on Murray. I really don't like Rafael Nadal. I'm a Federer fan all the way, and he proved why he's one of the best ever last night.

    Reply

    Good to see you both on Murray today. When you said value, it kind of scared me, because i usually fade value in tennis.

    I wouldn't say that "there is good value in Murray." I would say "Murray is a good bet".

    Value is taking Berdych last night at +200 in a 50/50 match. I think the line is just about right considering Nadal is the next big thing in tennis, and that he is currently ranked #1 in the world.

    I'll probably throw a little doh on Murray. I really don't like Rafael Nadal. I'm a Federer fan all the way, and he proved why he's one of the best ever last night.

     
    sparty444
    sparty444
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 11:13 AM ET #4

    My guess is Nadal will surpass Federer as the best ever.

    #1 He is going to win somewhat near the same amount of majors.

    #2  He has already won alot more Masters series shields.

    #3 and has won Olympic individual gold.

    #4 And owns Roger head to head...especially in finals

     

    I like Roger Federer...but I suspect Nadal is going to surpass him. Keep in mind that if Nadal wins the US Open... he would have a hot at the Nadal slam in Melbourne

    Reply

    My guess is Nadal will surpass Federer as the best ever.

    #1 He is going to win somewhat near the same amount of majors.

    #2  He has already won alot more Masters series shields.

    #3 and has won Olympic individual gold.

    #4 And owns Roger head to head...especially in finals

     

    I like Roger Federer...but I suspect Nadal is going to surpass him. Keep in mind that if Nadal wins the US Open... he would have a hot at the Nadal slam in Melbourne

     
    CheezeStack
    CheezeStack
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 11:23 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

    Hmmmm Yes Please!

    This is as 50/50 a match as you can get. Have to play with the value here. Murray looks like he is coming right into form on his favourite surface. Add to the fact that he needs to make the final to keep his top 4 ranking and he wants revenge for the Wimbledon final makes the +125 cracking value on Murray's favourite surface..Think Murray wants it more and that will show in the match..He doesn't fear Nadal on this surface..Take the value

    So in terms of this being a 50/50 match, and mentions of value, essentially what you're saying is you'd rather lose 1 unit to win 1.25 than lose 1.25 units to win 1 for example

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

    Hmmmm Yes Please!

    This is as 50/50 a match as you can get. Have to play with the value here. Murray looks like he is coming right into form on his favourite surface. Add to the fact that he needs to make the final to keep his top 4 ranking and he wants revenge for the Wimbledon final makes the +125 cracking value on Murray's favourite surface..Think Murray wants it more and that will show in the match..He doesn't fear Nadal on this surface..Take the value

    So in terms of this being a 50/50 match, and mentions of value, essentially what you're saying is you'd rather lose 1 unit to win 1.25 than lose 1.25 units to win 1 for example

     
    CheezeStack
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 11:24 AM ET #6

    Nadal is going to the finals. Thats it.
    Reply
    Nadal is going to the finals. Thats it.
     
    Howdoiplayxx
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 11:26 AM ET #7

    lol
    Reply
    lol
     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 2:16 PM ET #8

    Yea, I know I try not to let my hatred of a player get into my handicapping, but I put more than a fun bet on Murray.

    It's a decent value. I mean how low can a line go for a Nadal match? I don't like Murray either as a person, but we'll see. Good luck with whatever you pick. 

    Reply

    Yea, I know I try not to let my hatred of a player get into my handicapping, but I put more than a fun bet on Murray.

    It's a decent value. I mean how low can a line go for a Nadal match? I don't like Murray either as a person, but we'll see. Good luck with whatever you pick. 

     
    slamspurs
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 2:23 PM ET #9

    171.25 to win 214.06 Let's do this!
    Reply
    171.25 to win 214.06 Let's do this!
     
    MustRisk2Win
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 3:04 PM ET #10

    1 day too late for value on Murray. Playing an intense great player, not a tired guy

    Nadal but GL
    Reply
    1 day too late for value on Murray. Playing an intense great player, not a tired guy

    Nadal but GL
     
    BurningPlanet26
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 3:06 PM ET #11

    i have the murray parlay and a half unit hedge on nadal 2-1 +260
    Reply
    i have the murray parlay and a half unit hedge on nadal 2-1 +260
     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 3:48 PM ET #12

    Murray is outmatched here. Not looking good.....
    Reply
    Murray is outmatched here. Not looking good.....
     
    Howdoiplayxx
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 5:00 PM ET #13

    good job kjabs
    Reply
    good job kjabs
     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 5:02 PM ET #14

    Murray impressed me in this match. I think he wins the whole thing with the way he's playing right now. If he and Fed meet in the final, I may be tempted to throw a little against my man. regardless.

    WINNNNNAA

    Reply

    Murray impressed me in this match. I think he wins the whole thing with the way he's playing right now. If he and Fed meet in the final, I may be tempted to throw a little against my man. regardless.

    WINNNNNAA

     
    MustRisk2Win
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 5:11 PM ET #15

    Great call Slam....Huge win by Murray...Kicked ass again. I am going big on Federer tomorrow and see if Murray can kick my ass a 3rd time lol. Congrats!
    Reply
    Great call Slam....Huge win by Murray...Kicked ass again. I am going big on Federer tomorrow and see if Murray can kick my ass a 3rd time lol. Congrats!
     
    michaelpaul1
    michaelpaul1
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 6:23 PM ET #16

    Murray cashes......good win for us!
    Reply
    Murray cashes......good win for us!
     
     
    Mack05
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2010 - 7:17 PM ET #17

    Its not a popularity contest I keep saying this..Most people hate me, some like me. Burning respect man. I know you think I am a moron but as a capper u respect me as I respect you brother...

    Lets move on and make more money...Isnt that what it is all about...??

    Reply

    Its not a popularity contest I keep saying this..Most people hate me, some like me. Burning respect man. I know you think I am a moron but as a capper u respect me as I respect you brother...

    Lets move on and make more money...Isnt that what it is all about...??

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