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I, apparently, am a mathematical "moron" to coin a term.
A local barfly recommended that I understand Bayes theorem to be a better handicapper. That eventually led to a wikipedia entry regarding the Monty Hall problem. I still don't fully understand the solution, but I think I am getting there.
Anyway, that led me to ponder a similar problem relating to a modern gameshow - the one with all the suitcases that Howie Mandel hosts. I wonder if, when he gets down to the last 2 cases, would a contestant be better off by switching? I assume he would, but I don't want to assume anyting that can be proven. So, do we have any math guys in here that would care to discuss this?
A local barfly recommended that I understand Bayes theorem to be a better handicapper. That eventually led to a wikipedia entry regarding the Monty Hall problem. I still don't fully understand the solution, but I think I am getting there.
Anyway, that led me to ponder a similar problem relating to a modern gameshow - the one with all the suitcases that Howie Mandel hosts. I wonder if, when he gets down to the last 2 cases, would a contestant be better off by switching? I assume he would, but I don't want to assume anyting that can be proven. So, do we have any math guys in here that would care to discuss this?
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