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Wed/Thurs plays (Serie A, UCL, Lib).....

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Posted: #1

hope all had a good holiday. just tossing up what have. 

Serie A: both rescheduled matches. its that time of year where we need to be 'mindful' of thy futures.
Inter/Sass - had Sass come with a full strength side this coming wednesday, this would probably had been thy upset special for the week. you guys know this club absolutely loves coming to San Siro; unbeaten in last 5 visits too. but with Berardi, Defrel & Caputo ruled out its quite an uphill climb. faded Inter on wknd and came away with a 'push', im not thrilled to do this twice, not with the Scudetto front & center; besides, magic # is 83 so winning half their remaining games sees that through. Contes boys have played really poor all year long on midweek, but theyve been finding ways to 'w' which is the mark of a good squad. mostly because their defense is really clicking & in-tune lately; 4 cleansheets in last 5 @home (atalanta, lazio, & juve on that list) but ill take a small shot with
Sass TT over 1 @+191, but not sure why the 3.5 isnt juiced, Lautaro is going to have fun out there vs that backline and theyre going to have plenty of room in midfield. Inter/Sass over 3.5 @+109

Juve/Napoli - all things considered, obviously a big match. but, for who? with Gatts boys beating us in a 'sweet' spot back in Feb sandwiched between our 2nd leg with Inter and the KO opener in Portugal, so they hold the tiebreaker; and Koul/Mertens werent even around. yeah, we hit a massive one with Crotone total over the wknd as Koul suspended but not doing that again here, hes back patrolling the middle and will hold Christian in check. id be a wee-bit concerend with this one fellas, Napoli going to kill us on the counters. not fading us again, that was a nice sport on Sat, not to mention Toro end half cash cow. as discussed, Andrea saying all the "right" things to the media, but i agree, knowing us for as long as i have.... you get the feeling the locker room not on that 'same page' as him. could type all night on this one, a draw does us NO GOOD here. so I'll take a stab at the thought of taking our skirts off early this time. Juve TT over 1.5 @-115 and why isnt this juiced more? i  should hammer this, ehhhh.... over 1.5 @-105 (2nd half) 2,3,5,2,1,3,3,2, their last 8 visits to our backyard and after leaving skirts in locker room.

back in a bit with others  

 

 
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Posted: #2

Great info. What do is your take with Bayern vs PSG ? Thx peace_5

If you fail to Manage. You are managing to fail.
 
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Posted: #3

LGG peace_5   Alexis prevented the sweep there, and yet again, Luk add to his offside total, big fellas never gonna learn.  tack on 3 more and 12 to go for Inter.    Andrea needs to make it a priority this summer to keep Paulo at all costs.  ehhh....   

Sass TT over 1 @+191, Inter/Sass over 3.5 @+109 (P, L)
Juve TT over 1.5 @-115 Juve/Nap over 1.5 @-105 (2nd half)  (W, W)

forgot to post: 

UCL:
Munich/PSG - no Lew, no Gnabry? good thing PSG italian MF duo is out for this one. but French side probably have had this circled since pairings came out, and it doesnt take a genius to figure that out, thump Lille in Cup, thump Lyon, come back from break & then roll over on the wknd, domestic title doesnt seem very important this year. Paris side have found back of net in 22 straight roadies in this thing and I am not so sure Germans should be juiced vs THIS type of team with two of their most dangerous players in the final 1/3 out for wednesday. for fun, still in celebrate mode from Palace.  PSG TT over 1.5 @+160, PSG to win @+270


UEL: (thurs)
Ajax/Roma - Fonseca most likely will have to do w/out Mkhit & Smalling; and their priority is securing a domestic european slot for next year. not to mention he'll need to improve his Serie A table status or will be out of a job come summer. in any case, Roma will got for the away goal and take their chances next week. this line should be juiced so Ill gladly take these prices. Ajax to win @+115. less juice than the match total so Ill take a stab at it, Ajax TT O1.5 @-120

Zagreb +1/2 @-115

Copa Lib: final round before Group stages.
Bolivar(Bol)/Junior(Col) - Colombians have really struggled on the road in this thing the past several years, especially those visits in altitude, and they cant keep a cleansheet either. so this visit up in the heavens, their best chance is to 'park it' the full 90 and not even worry to get the away goal. going with the 'tried & true' customary Bolivian plays. Bolivar to win @-103, over 1.5 @+112 (2nd half plays)

Libertad(Par)/Nacional(Col) - these two met 2 years ago in this round and Paraguayans advanced via penalties after 1-0 scorelines for each. Colombians will find the going a little more difficult than last round when they easily beat the other Paraguayan club (Guarani) both legs. a little suprised this is in the 200s as both are pretty defensive-oriented clubs and its the 1st leg. draw @+210, and taking a shot at the the U1.5 @+175

GL to all an_cheers

 
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Posted: #4

Suerte mi panaclover

 
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Posted: #5

alfha peace_5 gracias y buena suerte esta noche thumbs_up

decent evening, Bayern match went pretty much as expected. PSG got what they wanted 5 mins in with that away goal.  makes for an interesting setup for next week

PSG TT over 1.5 @+160, PSG to win @+270 (W, W)

decided to tail and add Conmebol play:

Palmaflor/Wilster over2.5 @-105, over 3.5 @+205 - both share same pitch, Wilster lead 2-1 after 1st leg.  almost 40 shots put up in 1st leg.  worth a shot. 

as always,   "Molinari Time" an_woo

Masters:
Molinari to win @+14000, Top 5:+3200, Top 10: +950, Top 20: +425

have good week and GL to all an_cheers

 
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Posted: #6

Thxx spec as always! Truly great insights on the serie A and european cups. I’m with you on Ajax tomorrow. Looks like a 2-1 home win to me!

 
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Posted: #7

Really nice work today, Spec! In all fairness you deserved the Sass over and team total and probably Wilster over 3.5 you maniac you. Keep it up, appreciate it as always. I hope you and yours were able to get together and had a great holiday. peace_5

2019 CPL XVIII Champion
 
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Posted: #8

hey spec good job

any reason for taking Zagreb???

good luck 

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